@UsualFeller

#2,989,19528

0x39b4e322f0ad72c781cabbaf26f085a53d9cfc14

~26d· 73 markets · 375 tradesVol: $67,4562026-08-04 17:19:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (28/54)10.9/20
0.81x (win $1,436 / loss $1,762)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5970/15
Sortino -2.2000/10
$-0.0344 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 450 (54 markets)10/10
14/24 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 185% of peak ($1,215 / $656)0/10

Badges

1
DCA Master
Avg 5.1 entries/market

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#297,619$-1,008Vol: $48,340
📈 ECONOMICS#672,483$-301Vol: $7,401
🏛️ POLITICS#1,556,485$-182Vol: $6,543
⚽ SPORTS#1,658,104$-87Vol: $1,234
🎭 CULTURE#788,907$-141Vol: $1,029
📢 MENTIONS#164,118$-100Vol: $500

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,875
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,456
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
73
total markets
Trades
171B / 204S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$-26
Vol: $705
Week
$-48
Vol: $5,575
Month
$-225
Vol: $6,503
All Time
$-1,875
Vol: $67,456

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
25W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-1,875
Win Rate
50%
25W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$51
Avg Loss
$-68

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $542 (0.28878935722093363% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?$205
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?$176
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 9?$161
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$159
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$140
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 8?$115
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4?$103
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 4?$90
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 23?$60
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 4?$44

Top Losers

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 18?$-318
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?$-234
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$-221
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$-165
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?$-155
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?$-139
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$-123
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 20?$-112
Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?$-105
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 23?$-52

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.082
Sortino
-0.139
HHI
126
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.065
Kelly %
0.4%
Half-Kelly
0.2%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
16.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.1
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
52% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 1.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity12 trades/day — very active2.4 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.07
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)66.7%

Sessions

#12
7/13/2026, 2:26:56 PM16 trades$8755 min
7/15/2026, 2:01:59 AM3 trades$6130 min
7/12/2026, 2:52:20 AM13 trades$5884 min
7/7/2026, 6:50:22 PM4 trades$5430 min
8/3/2026, 9:39:14 PM17 trades$5000 min
7/8/2026, 3:33:04 PM4 trades$4850 min
7/13/2026, 3:18:16 PM4 trades$4580 min
7/8/2026, 6:42:05 AM4 trades$4380 min
7/8/2026, 2:14:11 AM11 trades$4370 min
7/12/2026, 12:32:23 PM3 trades$4330 min
7/5/2026, 2:49:55 PM4 trades$4060 min
7/11/2026, 9:47:01 PM10 trades$4050 min
7/7/2026, 3:12:08 AM10 trades$3970 min
7/22/2026, 4:05:10 AM19 trades$3920 min
7/12/2026, 1:31:37 PM6 trades$3840 min
7/8/2026, 4:21:11 PM5 trades$3790 min
7/27/2026, 10:31:22 PM15 trades$3760 min
7/13/2026, 8:20:52 PM8 trades$3750 min
7/12/2026, 9:42:41 PM10 trades$3740 min
7/16/2026, 6:26:07 PM3 trades$3580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-04
07-08
07-13
07-18
07-22
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
86% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M33.3 / H66.7