@0x3Ed4c8…1320

#2,223,61920

0x3ed4c894a4cad8f0baa5a7d8752d5f2782527a7d

~34d· 58 markets · 354 tradesVol: $13,2292026-08-04 21:52:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (22/56)4.6/20
0.92x (win $381 / loss $412)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4290/15
Sortino -0.4850/10
$-0.0209 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 568 (56 markets)9.7/10
14/31 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 113% of peak ($267 / $236)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#247,764$-11Vol: $12,686
₿ CRYPTO#1,161,793$-11Vol: $383
⚽ SPORTS#1,353,007$-10Vol: $160

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-32
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,229
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
137B / 217S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $59
Week
$-4
Vol: $672
Month
$-45
Vol: $1,034
All Time
$-32
Vol: $13,229

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
22W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-32
Win Rate
39%
22W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $165 (5.193059936908517% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$72
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 4?$49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?$44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?$39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?$29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?$27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?$25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?$24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 20?$17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?$12

Top Losers

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 30?$-207
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$-51
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on July 9?$-43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 16?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12?$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$-7
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.022
Sortino
-0.018
HHI
689
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.5%
Top-5 markets
47.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
39.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2347s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.68
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.9%
Mid (20-55c)21.2%
High (>55c)65%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 10:39:04 AM13 trades$2190 min
6/21/2026, 3:32:58 PM3 trades$1740 min
6/20/2026, 3:20:46 PM9 trades$1716 min
7/30/2026, 6:31:39 AM7 trades$1554 min
6/18/2026, 3:06:43 PM11 trades$1527 min
7/4/2026, 3:03:53 AM2 trades$1500 min
7/28/2026, 7:49:14 PM2 trades$1430 min
6/19/2026, 5:57:35 PM2 trades$1290 min
6/18/2026, 5:22:41 PM2 trades$1110 min
6/19/2026, 3:26:05 PM2 trades$1100 min
6/21/2026, 3:27:19 PM10 trades$950 min
6/17/2026, 6:23:35 PM2 trades$860 min
7/30/2026, 8:54:50 AM7 trades$820 min
7/4/2026, 2:46:38 AM7 trades$760 min
6/16/2026, 4:41:37 PM2 trades$730 min
7/28/2026, 3:42:47 PM4 trades$721 min
6/18/2026, 3:00:28 PM5 trades$650 min
7/29/2026, 2:10:11 PM8 trades$640 min
7/29/2026, 3:09:39 PM10 trades$553 min
6/13/2026, 6:18:49 PM2 trades$540 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-28
06-07
06-12
06-17
07-03
07-22
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
78% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.9 / M21.2 / H65