@0x3F6f98…9409

#2,828,2034

0x3f6f986196ebebbb529cc18a331bf211c299e536

~16d· 91 markets · 217 tradesVol: $19,3072026-08-04 20:39:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (24/63)4/20
0.82x (win $617 / loss $753)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6870/15
Sortino -3.3390/10
$-0.0665 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3756 (63 markets)0/10
2/12 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 146% of peak ($430 / $294)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,585,845$-350Vol: $16,470
🎭 CULTURE#770,810$-69Vol: $2,484
💰 FINANCE#459,351$-1Vol: $243
₿ CRYPTO#806,441$-0Vol: $32
🌤️ WEATHER#204,997$-2Vol: $28
📢 MENTIONS#103,154$-3Vol: $5
⚽ SPORTS#956,921$-1Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-424
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,307
Total Redeem
$52
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
91
total markets
Trades
112B / 105S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$-11
Vol: $0
Month
$-22
Vol: $0
All Time
$-424
Vol: $19,307

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
24W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-424
Win Rate
38%
24W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $546 (1.2875050069508256% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$469
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$30
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$26
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$10
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?$8
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$7
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$6
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$5
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?$3

Top Losers

Will Trump visit China by June 30?$-112
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?$-100
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$-60
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$-60
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$-59
Will Putin visit China by May 31?$-42
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$-40
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?$-30
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-20
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.085
Sortino
-0.251
HHI
836
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.081
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.5%
Top-5 markets
47.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 2.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.52
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.2%
Mid (20-55c)27.7%
High (>55c)32.1%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 7:57:38 PM19 trades$7,6726 min
3/30/2026, 4:20:02 AM1 trades$5100 min
3/29/2026, 9:46:14 PM1 trades$5000 min
5/22/2026, 8:06:37 AM13 trades$4983 min
5/16/2026, 4:21:13 PM44 trades$44221 min
5/19/2026, 1:56:27 PM23 trades$4308 min
5/3/2026, 1:50:54 PM2 trades$2610 min
3/30/2026, 4:27:22 AM8 trades$25115 min
3/30/2026, 10:33:13 PM18 trades$23221 min
4/1/2026, 11:49:33 AM22 trades$20516 min
3/29/2026, 9:18:24 PM2 trades$2000 min
4/16/2026, 9:11:14 AM4 trades$1900 min
5/15/2026, 4:23:25 PM11 trades$1377 min
7/4/2026, 3:45:38 PM4 trades$1371 min
4/13/2026, 1:53:29 AM5 trades$1220 min
7/4/2026, 3:52:40 PM2 trades$1200 min
7/4/2026, 3:57:52 PM11 trades$1206 min
4/1/2026, 7:36:17 AM2 trades$940 min
3/30/2026, 4:50:18 AM5 trades$817 min
4/12/2026, 10:03:57 PM6 trades$701 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-29
04-01
04-06
04-13
05-15
05-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.52/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.2 / M27.7 / H32.1