@0x3a1944…7878

#2,936,56142

0x3a19446fdaebf663a5f2e5837d45b8f9bfa21581

~8d· 13 markets · 87 tradesVol: $156,7752026-08-05 02:23:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (5/13)4.2/20
1.30x (win $6,348 / loss $4,900)6.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.80715/15
Sortino 2.84710/10
$+0.0712 per $1 invested3.6/10
HHI 2236 (13 markets)1.3/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 308% of peak ($4,458 / $1,447)0/10

Categories

4
⚽ SPORTS#1,837,515$-1,171Vol: $148,697
🏛️ POLITICS#1,583,752$-329Vol: $5,393
🎭 CULTURE#8,615$436Vol: $2,603
₿ CRYPTO#1,218,257$-15Vol: $81

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,079
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$156,775
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
18B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
5W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-1,079
Win Rate
38%
5W / 8L
Profit Factor
1.3x
Avg Win
$1,270
Avg Loss
$-613

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,935 (5.500407747196739% of PnL)

Top Winners

Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$2,701
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$1,761
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5$1,473
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?$399
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$14

Top Losers

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-2,198
Spain vs. Austria: Austria 2nd Half O/U 0.5$-1,200
Belgium leading at halftime?$-1,000
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?$-286
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$-184
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$-2
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.088
Sortino
0.136
HHI
2500
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.071
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.7%
Top-5 markets
90.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 729s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern6/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.69
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)66.7%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 6:57:40 PM13 trades$8,2350 min
7/4/2026, 6:50:46 PM15 trades$5,3100 min
7/4/2026, 7:08:19 PM2 trades$5,1810 min
6/30/2026, 7:03:44 PM9 trades$3,0810 min
7/1/2026, 6:44:26 PM10 trades$2,6182 min
7/3/2026, 8:48:55 PM3 trades$2,2680 min
7/2/2026, 7:44:40 PM3 trades$1,2770 min
7/3/2026, 8:06:16 PM2 trades$1,2280 min
6/5/2026, 3:34:01 PM14 trades$1,2010 min
7/1/2026, 6:25:44 PM2 trades$1,1890 min
7/3/2026, 8:00:55 PM2 trades$8770 min
11/30/2025, 4:28:04 PM3 trades$5113 min
12/23/2025, 4:59:15 PM1 trades$1840 min
12/23/2025, 5:38:39 AM1 trades$1840 min
7/1/2026, 8:53:04 PM2 trades$700 min
7/4/2026, 7:56:37 PM3 trades$410 min
7/1/2026, 6:37:53 PM2 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-30
12-23
06-05
06-30
07-01
07-02
07-03
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
79.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M33.3 / H66.7