@xiangui

#2,699,73878

0x3a1dd9d01d9145bb8dd9bb23def74a69a42c7a15

~52d· 76 markets · 166 tradesVol: $12,1542026-08-04 23:53:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (48/58)20/20
1.68x (win $735 / loss $438)11/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.21815/15
Sortino 4.76710/10
$+0.0562 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 693 (58 markets)9/10
26/31 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 74% of peak ($219 / $297)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Diamond Hands
10% sells
Consistent
26/31 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,549,560$-240Vol: $10,426
🎭 CULTURE#37,475$34Vol: $1,095
💰 FINANCE#68,926$6Vol: $383
🏛️ POLITICS#220,779$5Vol: $160
🌤️ WEATHER#70,903$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-193
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,154
Total Redeem
$470
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
150B / 16S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $200
Week
$-18
Vol: $300
Month
$-20
Vol: $300
All Time
$-193
Vol: $12,154

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
48W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-193
Win Rate
83%
48W / 10L
Profit Factor
1.68x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-44

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $494 (2.564249000571102% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$257
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?$132
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$105
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 28?$29
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 6-12?$25
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 22?$25
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$22
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in April 2026?$19
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10?$13

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 15-21?$-171
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 26?$-85
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$-60
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 15-21?$-38
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$-28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-22
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$-12
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$-11
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$-10
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.166
Sortino
0.113
HHI
623
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.063
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.2%
Top-5 markets
42.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.0h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6244s — normal for humanCV 1.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.43
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)16%
High (>55c)77.3%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 1:57:12 AM9 trades$4513 min
6/11/2026, 11:04:10 AM1 trades$2790 min
6/23/2026, 6:20:43 AM1 trades$2550 min
7/24/2026, 4:04:16 PM1 trades$1720 min
6/23/2026, 8:24:28 AM2 trades$1683 min
7/30/2026, 2:48:29 PM2 trades$1360 min
6/16/2026, 1:05:16 PM1 trades$1120 min
7/23/2026, 1:02:31 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/16/2026, 4:35:23 PM1 trades$980 min
7/7/2026, 7:36:56 AM1 trades$970 min
6/18/2026, 3:53:29 PM1 trades$960 min
6/18/2026, 3:58:38 PM2 trades$952 min
6/17/2026, 7:50:10 PM1 trades$930 min
6/18/2026, 3:08:32 PM1 trades$930 min
6/18/2026, 3:39:01 PM1 trades$930 min
7/13/2026, 11:46:41 AM1 trades$920 min
6/18/2026, 3:45:29 PM1 trades$910 min
7/14/2026, 3:04:49 PM1 trades$890 min
6/3/2026, 3:54:24 PM1 trades$880 min
6/23/2026, 8:15:14 AM1 trades$850 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-12
04-17
04-25
06-05
06-27
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.7 / M16 / H77.3