@Oldershaw

#367,83711

0x3a280a7bef0ef5e4540bd653525935ad75af6129

~5d· 8 markets · 34 tradesVol: $12,8182026-08-04 17:19:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (3/7)6.4/20
0.12x (win $235 / loss $2,022)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.5563 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1588 (7 markets)4.6/10
1/4 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 1830% of peak ($1,890 / $103)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+31
Lottery Player
38% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#199,816$6Vol: $12,508
SPORTS#214,000$25Vol: $310

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$31
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,818
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
21B / 13S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~5d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
3W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$31
Win Rate
43%
3W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$78
Avg Loss
$-506

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $235 (7.5336754329698525% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$132
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$54
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$50

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$-1,310
Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?$-284
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?$-273
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$-155

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.832
Sortino
-0.930
HHI
1905
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.586
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.2%
Top-5 markets
86%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.3m
between trades
Night Trading
65%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
13
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 253s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)65% night trades — never sleeps7/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.14
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)61.9%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 3:09:44 AM6 trades$1,1001 min
6/28/2026, 6:16:40 AM3 trades$1,0300 min
7/24/2026, 6:14:12 AM3 trades$9680 min
7/2/2026, 10:20:38 AM3 trades$9480 min
6/19/2026, 3:25:37 AM3 trades$9033 min
6/12/2026, 3:30:42 AM3 trades$5924 min
6/19/2026, 2:28:07 AM2 trades$4700 min
6/19/2026, 6:06:40 AM1 trades$4370 min
6/12/2026, 2:37:52 AM2 trades$3000 min
7/2/2026, 8:26:04 AM2 trades$950 min
6/28/2026, 1:40:49 AM2 trades$901 min
7/24/2026, 5:47:15 AM2 trades$770 min
6/28/2026, 3:23:17 AM2 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-19
06-28
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 20 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L38.1 / M0 / H61.9