@Said-Outage-Spotter5

#50,82979

0x3a2eab338cadacf1465ec771a439811b986964a4

~11d· 839 markets · 3188 tradesVol: $71,1012026-08-05 16:39:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (566/646)20/20
1.16x (win $1,263 / loss $1,086)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.48815/15
Sortino 49.89510/10
$+0.0115 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 156 (646 markets)10/10
7/11 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($15 / $177)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+2,072
Consistent
7/11 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Win Streak
38 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#102,814$87Vol: $39,774
🌤️ WEATHER#10,425$49Vol: $14,529
🎭 CULTURE#40,491$30Vol: $4,641
📈 ECONOMICS#57,080$5Vol: $4,451
🏛️ POLITICS#23,168$665Vol: $2,678
💰 FINANCE#4,317$967Vol: $2,064
⚽ SPORTS#136,697$78Vol: $1,715
💻 TECH#4,999$139Vol: $979

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,072
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$71,101
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
839
total markets
Trades
1634B / 1554S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,072
Vol: $71,101

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
566W / 80L events
Realized PnL
$2,072
Win Rate
88%
566W / 80L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $392 (0.18893317634342185% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$206
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$93
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$92
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 20?$70
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?$59
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$47
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$45
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$43
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?$34
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$27

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$-137
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$-113
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?$-112
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-80
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$-76
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-60
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-60
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?$-58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-52
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-37

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.374
Sortino
2.770
HHI
154
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
24.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
187.5
Very active
Markets / Day
49.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.9m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
40.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 131s — normal for humanCV 0.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock188 trades/day — automation49 markets/day — mass coverage51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.5%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)79.1%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 6:06:00 AM244 trades$1,71051 min
7/20/2026, 8:59:01 AM169 trades$1,17130 min
7/20/2026, 1:33:42 PM157 trades$1,02849 min
7/20/2026, 2:20:03 AM131 trades$90326 min
7/20/2026, 11:52:18 AM95 trades$54924 min
7/20/2026, 7:27:37 AM73 trades$53217 min
7/20/2026, 8:22:45 AM53 trades$48210 min
7/20/2026, 11:07:31 AM86 trades$42619 min
7/20/2026, 2:51:54 AM39 trades$3337 min
7/20/2026, 3:34:25 AM50 trades$32316 min
7/20/2026, 2:59:06 PM36 trades$2915 min
7/20/2026, 2:30:36 PM48 trades$27323 min
7/20/2026, 8:40:43 AM32 trades$2704 min
7/20/2026, 12:22:25 PM28 trades$2593 min
7/20/2026, 5:12:57 AM45 trades$25415 min
7/20/2026, 7:50:03 AM26 trades$2392 min
7/20/2026, 7:03:12 AM28 trades$23812 min
7/20/2026, 3:05:39 AM30 trades$2324 min
7/20/2026, 9:48:24 AM19 trades$2252 min
7/20/2026, 8:05:06 AM20 trades$2222 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-05
07-06
07-07
07-08
07-09
07-10
07-13
07-14
07-19
07-20
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
38% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.5 / M11.4 / H79.1