badmoshbillu

@badmoshbillu

#26,95942

0x3a8825d76c1197ee33b20c011e3f8cde654c1d03

~97d· 158 markets · 1241 tradesVol: $1,030,309 @spades_sol2026-08-04 23:42:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (128/158)20/20
0.95x (win $10,274 / loss $10,869)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1290/15
Sortino -0.1390/10
$-0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 113 (158 markets)10/10
72/90 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 294% of peak ($8,883 / $3,024)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+4,649
DCA Master
Avg 7.9 entries/market
Whale
$663,011 invested
Consistent
72/90 profitable days
High Roller
$2,034/day
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

4
SPORTS#14,933$2,940Vol: $576,506
🎭 CULTURE#4,577$1,161Vol: $420,666
CRYPTO#41,578$542Vol: $26,813
🏛️ POLITICS#200,814$6Vol: $6,324

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,649
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,030,309
Total Redeem
$64,771
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
158
total markets
Trades
991B / 250S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
128W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$4,649
Win Rate
81%
128W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$80
Avg Loss
$-453

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,040 (0.8690378629980232% of PnL)

Top Winners

Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants$1,718
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians$1,458
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$864
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru$473
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings$385
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$379
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$322
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs UAE (Game 1)$300
T20 World Cup: India vs Netherlands (Game 1)$264
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans$257

Top Losers

Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans$-8,550
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$-439
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$-367
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals$-265
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$-242
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans$-176
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars$-150
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-140
T20 World Cup: England vs India$-92
Will Mumbai Indians win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$-88

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.007
Sortino
-0.003
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
8.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 2.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.9
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)6.3%
High (>55c)91.9%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 5:49:50 PM7 trades$20,1790 min
5/13/2026, 6:35:53 PM2 trades$18,1790 min
6/14/2026, 4:34:57 PM4 trades$18,0140 min
3/26/2026, 1:50:17 PM2 trades$17,3025 min
2/10/2026, 1:42:27 PM2 trades$12,8981 min
2/28/2026, 5:03:49 PM5 trades$11,9024 min
1/6/2026, 4:59:57 PM1 trades$10,8780 min
1/5/2026, 7:12:57 AM1 trades$10,5560 min
6/23/2026, 6:37:55 PM1 trades$10,1340 min
6/20/2026, 6:18:20 PM50 trades$10,0111 min
6/21/2026, 5:36:50 PM1 trades$9,6910 min
5/15/2026, 5:53:47 PM13 trades$9,1816 min
12/30/2025, 5:25:23 AM1 trades$9,1060 min
6/25/2026, 9:49:50 PM18 trades$8,8166 min
3/21/2026, 8:54:13 PM1 trades$8,5060 min
3/10/2026, 5:25:39 AM1 trades$8,3560 min
3/3/2026, 8:21:47 PM1 trades$8,2280 min
3/4/2026, 4:01:21 PM1 trades$8,2280 min
3/6/2026, 8:38:41 PM1 trades$8,2160 min
3/12/2026, 9:53:57 AM1 trades$7,8980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-22
01-24
02-20
03-10
03-31
05-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.8 / M6.3 / H91.9