@0x3af1D4…6704

#2,885,54610

0x3af1d4b4c676f5c3bc42fb4731025884d0d46cf1

~23d· 25 markets · 92 tradesVol: $20,4722026-08-05 16:38:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (8/24)1.7/20
0.56x (win $1,112 / loss $1,986)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1690/15
Sortino -3.8810/10
$-0.2779 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 873 (24 markets)8.1/10
5/18 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 279% of peak ($1,361 / $487)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,578,223$-273Vol: $13,127
⚽ SPORTS#1,793,555$-480Vol: $3,596
🎭 CULTURE#658,004$-6Vol: $3,321
📈 ECONOMICS#12,452$101Vol: $340
💰 FINANCE#573,466$-10Vol: $87

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-668
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,472
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
43B / 49S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-668
Vol: $20,472

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
8W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-668
Win Rate
33%
8W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$139
Avg Loss
$-124

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $963 (1.4425537014290422% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$733
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$133
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$97
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$64
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$51
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?$24
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$4

Top Losers

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$-400
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$-346
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-200
Will Netherlands win the World Cup?$-200
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$-194
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$-171
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?$-118
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$-90
Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$-53
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.161
Sortino
-0.192
HHI
840
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.262
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.1%
Top-5 markets
51.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 188s — normal for humanCV 0.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.71
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.9%
Mid (20-55c)37.2%
High (>55c)34.9%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 9:43:04 AM40 trades$3,4902 min
11/19/2025, 12:26:07 PM3 trades$6462 min
5/12/2026, 8:36:12 AM2 trades$3390 min
10/22/2025, 2:40:59 PM1 trades$3230 min
10/30/2025, 8:47:29 AM2 trades$3011 min
1/5/2026, 10:13:13 AM1 trades$3000 min
10/30/2025, 8:30:13 AM6 trades$2734 min
10/21/2025, 4:54:55 PM3 trades$2552 min
10/21/2025, 4:47:53 PM1 trades$2500 min
11/4/2025, 9:52:39 PM1 trades$2000 min
5/15/2026, 1:33:33 PM3 trades$1580 min
11/18/2025, 2:00:05 PM2 trades$1451 min
1/13/2026, 5:17:23 PM2 trades$1351 min
10/31/2025, 4:37:37 PM1 trades$1040 min
10/20/2025, 7:35:37 AM3 trades$1037 min
10/22/2025, 9:00:13 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/7/2025, 8:33:45 AM1 trades$1000 min
10/22/2025, 5:57:13 PM1 trades$960 min
11/27/2025, 8:28:03 PM1 trades$940 min
11/12/2025, 6:55:18 PM1 trades$900 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-22
10-27
11-04
11-17
11-27
01-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 172 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.71/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.9 / M37.2 / H34.9