@0x3b300a…8306

#2,830,72223

0x3b300a916331c4d7d65d50f378dcb02b3c5d100f

~94d· 706 markets · 3214 tradesVol: $21,6562026-08-04 18:13:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (292/638)7.9/20
0.83x (win $2,960 / loss $3,548)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5720/15
Sortino -3.1670/10
$-0.0603 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 29 (638 markets)10/10
37/77 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 1189% of peak ($679 / $57)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,507,948$-88Vol: $8,084
SPORTS#1,732,296$-183Vol: $4,775
💰 FINANCE#638,804$-150Vol: $4,146
📈 ECONOMICS#21,476$36Vol: $1,567
🎭 CULTURE#759,126$-48Vol: $1,530
💻 TECH#28,055$4Vol: $416
🌤️ WEATHER#241,015$-9Vol: $358
CRYPTO#306,748$4Vol: $182
📢 MENTIONS#112,595$-5Vol: $77

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-434
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,656
Total Redeem
$102
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
706
total markets
Trades
1477B / 1737S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $0
Week
$7
Vol: $199
Month
$-14
Vol: $199
All Time
$-434
Vol: $21,656

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
292W / 346L events
Realized PnL
$-434
Win Rate
46%
292W / 346L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $188 (0.43347303458757425% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?$69
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$58
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$48
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?$48
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$40
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$39
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$36
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?$34
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$32

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-119
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?$-71
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-54
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-51
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?$-46
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?$-44
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?$-42
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?$-39
Will Jamal Musiala score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-38
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?$-36

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.134
Sortino
-0.161
HHI
18
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.7
Active
Markets / Day
5.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.9

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
46% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 0.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency5.4 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.43
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)28%
High (>55c)70.5%

Sessions

#12
7/26/2026, 8:39:24 PM15 trades$5670 min
6/27/2026, 10:08:20 PM82 trades$4904 min
4/14/2026, 12:15:57 AM93 trades$4534 min
5/16/2026, 1:46:00 PM92 trades$4111 min
5/20/2026, 10:18:33 PM64 trades$4081 min
5/10/2026, 12:27:13 AM33 trades$3860 min
4/18/2026, 1:17:04 AM73 trades$2991 min
7/26/2026, 11:01:34 PM9 trades$2220 min
5/21/2026, 6:18:45 PM31 trades$1861 min
5/1/2026, 12:31:52 AM41 trades$1820 min
6/4/2026, 11:44:03 PM23 trades$1820 min
4/15/2026, 1:15:08 AM45 trades$1750 min
6/8/2026, 11:45:27 AM18 trades$1740 min
4/20/2026, 1:17:16 AM40 trades$1570 min
4/23/2026, 12:32:40 AM34 trades$1550 min
6/4/2026, 7:37:19 PM14 trades$1452 min
5/8/2026, 10:10:25 PM33 trades$1380 min
6/8/2026, 5:45:40 PM11 trades$1360 min
4/19/2026, 1:17:32 AM33 trades$1360 min
6/18/2026, 7:24:41 AM4 trades$1360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
04-25
05-08
05-20
06-01
06-15
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M28 / H70.5