@cas1111

#85,11885

0x3b78bd6c83648052207dfbac180d0e9271c25ce6

~118d· 638 markets · 4795 tradesVol: $61,8152026-08-05 18:26:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (360/523)19.4/20
1.59x (win $5,705 / loss $3,578)9.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.73115/15
Sortino 6.24810/10
$+0.0906 per $1 invested4.5/10
HHI 86 (523 markets)10/10
70/106 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($748 / $2,171)7.1/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+927
DCA Master
Avg 10.4 entries/market
Consistent
70/106 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#27,779$479Vol: $28,611
SPORTS#77,082$267Vol: $14,761
CRYPTO#116,415$63Vol: $9,314
💰 FINANCE#621,356$-55Vol: $2,338
📈 ECONOMICS#101,952$1Vol: $1,979
📢 MENTIONS#7,050$78Vol: $1,456
🎭 CULTURE#758,086$-46Vol: $859
💻 TECH#24,313$5Vol: $265
🌤️ WEATHER#30,293$5Vol: $70

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$927
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$61,815
Total Redeem
$1,080
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
638
total markets
Trades
3569B / 1226S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~118d

Periods

#2
Today
$-35
Vol: $455
Week
$99
Vol: $2,950
Month
$123
Vol: $2,986
All Time
$927
Vol: $61,815

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
360W / 161L events
Realized PnL
$927
Win Rate
69%
360W / 161L
Profit Factor
1.59x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,383 (1.491401339126872% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$668
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$432
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$283
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$270
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$259
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$197
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$148
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$146
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$144

Top Losers

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-348
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-279
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-226
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-190
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-157
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$-136
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$-127
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-109
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-92
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-83

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.142
Sortino
0.227
HHI
98
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.083
Kelly %
7.5%
Half-Kelly
3.8%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
13.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.6
Active
Markets / Day
5.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.7m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 743s — normal for humanCV 1.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock41 trades/day — high frequency5.4 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.38
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11%
Mid (20-55c)18.2%
High (>55c)70.8%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 4:55:47 AM144 trades$1,8019 min
4/21/2026, 3:24:38 PM76 trades$9520 min
7/24/2026, 4:22:37 PM69 trades$7710 min
4/26/2026, 9:43:34 PM10 trades$4393 min
4/11/2026, 9:29:19 AM5 trades$4040 min
5/24/2026, 10:50:19 PM3 trades$4000 min
6/14/2026, 9:47:57 PM12 trades$3728 min
4/12/2026, 5:48:07 AM46 trades$3575 min
7/3/2026, 9:53:02 PM9 trades$3448 min
5/23/2026, 11:53:44 PM60 trades$3120 min
4/28/2026, 4:05:54 AM5 trades$2940 min
7/3/2026, 9:10:58 PM10 trades$2914 min
4/28/2026, 3:15:14 AM4 trades$2607 min
6/19/2026, 5:53:43 AM7 trades$2481 min
4/23/2026, 5:03:10 AM27 trades$2330 min
7/16/2026, 8:44:08 AM4 trades$2170 min
5/31/2026, 11:20:59 PM9 trades$1860 min
5/16/2026, 10:54:49 PM28 trades$1786 min
4/27/2026, 2:31:40 AM3 trades$1781 min
5/21/2026, 8:07:15 AM2 trades$1680 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
04-30
05-18
06-06
06-24
07-15
08-02
08-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11 / M18.2 / H70.8