@mmcxhrfsr

#2,725,94940

0x3b811f5745afd433f83efb6494891dbed3e48eb9

~37d· 52 markets · 77 tradesVol: $10,3592026-08-04 22:40:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (43/52)20/20
0.17x (win $45 / loss $266)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5420/15
Sortino -3.4890/10
$-0.0302 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 354 (52 markets)10/10
32/35 profitable days (91%)10/10
Max DD 4184% of peak ($253 / $6)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Consistent
32/35 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,405,783$-57Vol: $3,485
🎭 CULTURE#82,286$6Vol: $3,054
🏛️ POLITICS#1,556,415$-175Vol: $1,540
💰 FINANCE#88,065$3Vol: $825
📈 ECONOMICS#105,914$1Vol: $814
⚽ SPORTS#350,995$4Vol: $641

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-218
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,359
Total Redeem
$133
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
57B / 20S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
43W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-218
Win Rate
83%
43W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17 (0.0768735632183908% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$6
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?$6
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$5
Will Trump use a recess appointment for Matt Gaetz?$4
US government shutdown Saturday?$3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?$2
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?$1
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-140
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-56
Solana above $200 on February 21?$-44
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$-16
Bitcoin all time high in April?$-9
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$-1
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in January?$-0
Will Ethereum hit $6000 by February 28 2025?$-0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.183
Sortino
-0.066
HHI
313
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
26.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
38
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 0.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.48
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)86%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 10:26:28 AM11 trades$6311 min
2/16/2025, 4:20:28 AM5 trades$5106 min
11/9/2025, 12:53:23 PM2 trades$4901 min
1/26/2026, 5:55:30 AM3 trades$4022 min
10/20/2025, 7:16:21 AM4 trades$3502 min
1/14/2026, 6:36:10 AM2 trades$3451 min
10/28/2024, 2:09:50 PM4 trades$3415 min
10/9/2025, 6:11:10 AM3 trades$3401 min
11/17/2025, 1:46:27 PM2 trades$3401 min
12/7/2025, 5:29:25 AM3 trades$3352 min
5/10/2026, 7:25:42 AM3 trades$3320 min
3/8/2026, 12:57:39 PM1 trades$3220 min
9/25/2025, 12:41:28 PM2 trades$3211 min
7/18/2026, 9:10:58 AM1 trades$3160 min
4/25/2026, 3:39:16 AM2 trades$3110 min
2/5/2026, 12:08:05 PM1 trades$3030 min
3/23/2026, 6:38:03 AM2 trades$2831 min
12/29/2024, 7:34:52 PM1 trades$1850 min
1/15/2025, 10:10:39 PM2 trades$1841 min
12/23/2025, 11:06:23 AM1 trades$1800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-20
01-15
06-14
09-25
12-07
01-29
04-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 185 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.5 / M10.5 / H86