@Talleyrand-Perigord
#2,956,470220x3bcfe1b4671661c3fe85ee3a4ee1be34af1d0d1b
~94d· 141 markets · 1823 tradesVol: $558,2952026-08-04 18:55:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (60/139)6.6/20
0.92x (win $15,598 / loss $16,935)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3430/15
Sortino -0.5930/10
$-0.0164 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 812 (139 markets)8.4/10
30/59 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 117% of peak ($8,998 / $7,661)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Whale
$81,289 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,623,595$-1,747Vol: $463,354
📈 ECONOMICS#3,815$706Vol: $59,109
₿ CRYPTO#47,285$410Vol: $9,398
💰 FINANCE#92,451$3Vol: $8,460
⚽ SPORTS#1,817,458$-790Vol: $7,371
🎭 CULTURE#18,153$126Vol: $6,983
📢 MENTIONS#126,446$-9Vol: $1,813
💻 TECH#214,228$-4Vol: $1,806
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,306
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$558,295
Total Redeem
$115
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
141
total markets
Trades
1021B / 802S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~94d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,306
Vol: $558,295
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
60W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$-1,306
Win Rate
43%
60W / 79L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$260
Avg Loss
$-232
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,803 (7.508521443398467% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7,777
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1,187
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$838
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$824
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$573
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$447
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$413
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$400
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?$388
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?$346
Top Losers
Iran leadership change by June 30?$-4,691
Iran leadership change by May 31?$-2,594
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-1,645
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5$-1,060
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-619
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-454
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?$-445
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$-439
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Cabo Verde O/U 1.5$-408
Will Solana reach $240 in November?$-388
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.018
Sortino
-0.023
HHI
1161
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.2%
Top-5 markets
51%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 282s — normal for humanCV 1.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.46
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)39.3%
Mid (20-55c)41%
High (>55c)19.7%
Sessions
#125/7/2026, 7:19:21 PM4 trades$8,1450 min
5/5/2026, 10:58:28 PM16 trades$7,7960 min
5/7/2026, 10:03:51 PM9 trades$6,1111 min
5/10/2026, 8:17:47 PM15 trades$6,0531 min
4/13/2026, 5:30:41 PM13 trades$3,6847 min
5/2/2026, 9:37:20 PM7 trades$3,6151 min
4/19/2026, 5:10:48 PM27 trades$3,5747 min
4/8/2026, 12:16:17 AM47 trades$3,26212 min
4/19/2026, 12:00:44 PM17 trades$2,9983 min
4/13/2026, 3:34:33 PM10 trades$2,9681 min
4/18/2026, 8:28:50 AM9 trades$2,5196 min
4/19/2026, 9:55:36 PM23 trades$2,0901 min
4/17/2026, 10:09:32 PM20 trades$2,0021 min
4/16/2026, 11:03:22 AM11 trades$1,9060 min
4/20/2026, 12:19:14 PM2 trades$1,7510 min
4/12/2026, 10:56:17 PM4 trades$1,7360 min
10/14/2025, 6:08:25 PM2 trades$1,6793 min
4/23/2026, 7:01:26 PM2 trades$1,6500 min
4/18/2026, 7:11:34 PM2 trades$1,6000 min
10/28/2025, 5:22:37 PM9 trades$1,57413 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-06
11-21
10-01
10-18
11-03
03-04
05-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.46/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.3 / M41 / H19.7