@predixion

#2,962,5569

0x3be703c6cfc655e390a96e93e88fd3fd9fe7ad70

~18d· 96 markets · 1781 tradesVol: $217,5132026-08-04 18:59:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (8/95)0/20
0.78x (win $1,465 / loss $1,887)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4550/15
Sortino -5.3170/10
$-0.1133 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 623 (95 markets)9.4/10
4/18 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($549 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
88% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#298,091$-1,275Vol: $203,008
🏛️ POLITICS#1,421,603$-31Vol: $8,499
SPORTS#1,657,903$-86Vol: $3,831
🎭 CULTURE#653,616$-6Vol: $2,175

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,398
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$217,513
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
96
total markets
Trades
688B / 1093S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
8W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$-1,398
Win Rate
8%
8W / 87L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$183
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,150 (0.8229809887019798% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$663
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?$308
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?$180
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?$127
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?$61
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?$37
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?$32

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 7?$-140
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 7?$-128
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?$-102
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?$-92
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 9?$-83
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-83
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 9?$-76
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?$-72
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 10?$-67
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 9?$-67

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.227
Sortino
-0.301
HHI
888
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.119
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.4%
Top-5 markets
47.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
57.5
Very active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
43s
between trades
Avg Gap
30.0m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 43s — normal for humanCV 6.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock57 trades/day — mass trading3.1 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.63
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)88.1%
Mid (20-55c)7.8%
High (>55c)4.1%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 4:55:14 AM28 trades$4,8324 min
6/16/2026, 10:22:16 PM6 trades$3,9353 min
7/7/2026, 4:05:23 AM26 trades$3,4088 min
6/17/2026, 2:08:52 AM2 trades$3,2190 min
7/4/2026, 10:21:37 PM75 trades$1,9490 min
7/7/2026, 4:55:44 PM18 trades$1,9412 min
7/6/2026, 6:26:11 AM70 trades$1,6326 min
7/6/2026, 1:53:19 AM49 trades$1,5358 min
6/18/2026, 8:14:02 AM8 trades$1,2890 min
7/2/2026, 9:52:25 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/11/2026, 10:08:44 AM4 trades$1,0000 min
6/16/2026, 10:30:25 PM2 trades$9980 min
7/5/2026, 6:31:46 PM16 trades$9210 min
7/9/2026, 8:10:16 AM58 trades$86117 min
7/9/2026, 6:57:34 AM94 trades$82737 min
7/6/2026, 8:52:17 AM77 trades$78915 min
6/18/2026, 7:18:08 AM22 trades$6055 min
6/18/2026, 10:12:50 AM25 trades$57310 min
7/8/2026, 8:16:47 AM46 trades$49913 min
6/18/2026, 9:55:23 AM60 trades$47710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-19
07-03
07-06
07-09
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
86% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.63/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L88.1 / M7.8 / H4.1