@DTShin-tianqi

#2,859,37461

0x3bf9a5d1c663267c44e54a8ffa6231eec3b41ffa

~32d· 201 markets · 1837 tradesVol: $293,3882026-08-05 02:23:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (46/201)0/20
2.37x (win $7,746 / loss $3,265)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.67515/15
Sortino 15.01310/10
$+0.6183 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3946 (201 markets)0/10
10/31 profitable days (32%)0.6/10
Max DD 20% of peak ($1,116 / $5,584)10/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 20%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#295,989$-583Vol: $193,292
⚽ SPORTS#142,626$71Vol: $94,957
💰 FINANCE#601,411$-24Vol: $5,139

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-536
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$293,388
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
201
total markets
Trades
1153B / 684S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
46W / 155L events
Realized PnL
$-536
Win Rate
23%
46W / 155L
Profit Factor
2.37x
Avg Win
$168
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,147 (11.464509511376352% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?$4,050
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$1,679
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 23?$418
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$167
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$128
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?$104
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$96
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 9?$95
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$90
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 4?$87

Top Losers

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-978
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-260
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?$-146
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 20?$-102
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11?$-83
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?$-73
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 12?$-68
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 9?$-66
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 11?$-57
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?$-54

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.189
Sortino
0.682
HHI
554
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.583
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
47.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.8
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.9m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 147s — normal for humanCV 3.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency3.6 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.69
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)62.5%
Mid (20-55c)17.7%
High (>55c)19.8%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 12:11:04 PM17 trades$16,9247 min
6/18/2026, 12:41:37 PM13 trades$6,0893 min
7/22/2026, 11:40:36 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/3/2026, 9:56:42 PM53 trades$3,5435 min
7/20/2026, 11:59:37 AM2 trades$1,5000 min
6/11/2026, 9:51:07 AM15 trades$1,3764 min
6/11/2026, 6:07:10 PM7 trades$1,2551 min
7/19/2026, 3:03:27 PM10 trades$1,1371 min
6/11/2026, 5:03:28 PM2 trades$1,0800 min
6/12/2026, 9:24:45 AM11 trades$1,0568 min
6/13/2026, 11:18:07 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/20/2026, 11:53:51 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/23/2026, 5:26:10 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/11/2026, 10:11:19 AM2 trades$8210 min
6/21/2026, 11:21:20 PM15 trades$7887 min
6/21/2026, 11:33:59 PM12 trades$7169 min
7/26/2026, 5:47:33 PM13 trades$5211 min
7/22/2026, 8:01:31 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/22/2026, 11:58:42 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/5/2026, 7:41:46 AM23 trades$4936 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-10
06-15
06-22
06-29
07-21
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
70% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.69/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.5 / M17.7 / H19.8