@0x3C4277…2969

#2,593,89135

0x3c4277a5d899f8319a54d6d6d8430379ca202adc

~57d· 96 markets · 545 tradesVol: $19,6502026-08-05 03:20:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (46/70)17.9/20
0.70x (win $714 / loss $1,022)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0890/15
Sortino -2.3480/10
$-0.0825 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 562 (70 markets)9.7/10
22/37 profitable days (59%)7.4/10
Max DD 297% of peak ($572 / $192)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 66%
DCA Master
Avg 7.7 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,551,523$-158Vol: $15,032
💰 FINANCE#25,573$52Vol: $1,881
🎭 CULTURE#701,820$-13Vol: $1,390
₿ CRYPTO#340,589$3Vol: $816
📈 ECONOMICS#26,959$23Vol: $460
💻 TECH#236,843$-22Vol: $40
🌤️ WEATHER#62,617$1Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-114
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,650
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
96
total markets
Trades
243B / 302S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-7
Vol: $70
Month
$-8
Vol: $90
All Time
$-114
Vol: $19,650

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
46W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-114
Win Rate
66%
46W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-60

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $288 (2.5292875989445913% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$118
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$117
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$53
Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$47
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?$38
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$38
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$34
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$27
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$26
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$24

Top Losers

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-241
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$-218
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$-127
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-82
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-68
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-57
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$-44
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-40
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-32
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.108
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
605
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.073
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
45.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 240s — normal for humanCV 1.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.74
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)10.7%
High (>55c)81.1%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 7:01:58 AM2 trades$5560 min
6/14/2026, 3:54:33 PM12 trades$3645 min
6/23/2026, 7:07:58 AM11 trades$3512 min
6/11/2026, 6:55:40 PM13 trades$3486 min
7/3/2026, 10:01:11 AM3 trades$2500 min
7/29/2026, 6:34:59 AM37 trades$21910 min
6/9/2026, 9:41:21 AM6 trades$2096 min
6/14/2026, 6:01:36 PM5 trades$1840 min
6/30/2026, 12:04:25 PM7 trades$1516 min
6/1/2026, 8:10:23 AM2 trades$1500 min
5/30/2026, 9:13:04 PM22 trades$14415 min
6/29/2026, 5:40:53 AM4 trades$1430 min
6/13/2026, 9:18:18 AM16 trades$13711 min
7/1/2026, 2:02:31 PM9 trades$1357 min
6/15/2026, 11:06:01 AM1 trades$1160 min
6/30/2026, 9:12:16 PM3 trades$1140 min
5/16/2026, 8:33:39 PM15 trades$10715 min
6/27/2026, 11:31:19 AM4 trades$1020 min
6/9/2026, 6:43:24 AM14 trades$962 min
6/24/2026, 6:14:02 AM14 trades$933 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
05-31
06-09
06-16
06-24
07-04
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.2 / M10.7 / H81.1