@Hermitsupreme

#2,814,26412

0x3c5adffcb68ba8cc3fa0f138d9d9a9ae76a8022d

~57d· 158 markets · 927 tradesVol: $20,2602026-08-05 01:11:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (30/126)0/20
0.68x (win $870 / loss $1,272)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9350/15
Sortino -4.2460/10
$-0.1563 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 714 (126 markets)8.9/10
9/22 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 528% of peak ($738 / $140)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,480,584$-60Vol: $10,507
🌤️ WEATHER#10,186$51Vol: $4,883
⚽ SPORTS#1,676,770$-100Vol: $1,441
🎭 CULTURE#795,553$-208Vol: $1,045
₿ CRYPTO#262,744$7Vol: $836
💰 FINANCE#518,707$-3Vol: $141
💻 TECH#198,454$-2Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-380
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,260
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
158
total markets
Trades
801B / 126S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $13
Month
$3
Vol: $24
All Time
$-380
Vol: $20,260

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
30W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$-380
Win Rate
24%
30W / 96L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $448 (1.1794662596062744% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$241
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$146
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 10?$61
Warriors vs. Jazz$53
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 9?$48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on March 10?$42
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$41
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)$34
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$31
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 15?$27

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-149
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 23?$-132
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?$-124
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$-83
US forces enter Iran by March 14?$-82
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?$-61
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs$-58
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-43
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-42
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 217.5$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.201
Sortino
-0.202
HHI
554
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.151
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17%
Top-5 markets
39.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 580s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.13
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.4%
Mid (20-55c)30.3%
High (>55c)22.2%

Sessions

#12
3/11/2026, 10:09:13 PM43 trades$42317 min
3/15/2026, 4:43:35 PM14 trades$3929 min
3/15/2026, 4:27:15 PM10 trades$2913 min
3/31/2026, 12:02:29 AM5 trades$1092 min
3/20/2026, 9:10:29 PM4 trades$1020 min
3/11/2026, 2:01:45 PM4 trades$881 min
5/12/2026, 10:29:21 AM10 trades$830 min
3/22/2026, 5:26:01 PM2 trades$790 min
5/1/2026, 4:30:42 PM8 trades$780 min
7/21/2026, 12:21:16 AM15 trades$540 min
5/5/2026, 10:32:56 PM5 trades$476 min
7/14/2026, 2:37:37 PM10 trades$470 min
5/11/2026, 9:50:13 AM3 trades$463 min
3/11/2026, 3:17:21 PM2 trades$441 min
5/13/2026, 6:52:53 AM4 trades$440 min
7/16/2026, 9:54:01 AM3 trades$430 min
5/5/2026, 1:07:26 AM12 trades$392 min
3/16/2026, 8:16:41 PM4 trades$385 min
7/19/2026, 7:02:46 AM11 trades$380 min
4/24/2026, 2:16:34 AM3 trades$370 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
03-11
03-14
03-17
03-20
03-23
05-12
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 60 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
34% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.13/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.4 / M30.3 / H22.2