mathmarket

@mathmarket

#51,59025

0x3c648e8295c38533e7c3c38c98dc9e4080e0cb26

~98d· 282 markets · 1347 tradesVol: $461,2102026-08-05 04:15:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (139/265)11.2/20
0.75x (win $12,371 / loss $16,478)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3840/15
Sortino -1.6250/10
$-0.1050 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 264 (265 markets)10/10
40/87 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 253% of peak ($6,786 / $2,679)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+2,028
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.4 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#18,036$2,411Vol: $418,186
🏛️ POLITICS#1,475,339$-56Vol: $26,497
🎭 CULTURE#774,530$-79Vol: $7,763
CRYPTO#1,380,968$-47Vol: $5,724
💰 FINANCE#635,212$-114Vol: $1,030
🌤️ WEATHER#227,505$-5Vol: $434
📈 ECONOMICS#114,424$1Vol: $182
💻 TECH#169,193$-0Vol: $52

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,028
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$461,210
Total Redeem
$1,580
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
282
total markets
Trades
814B / 533S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$5
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,028
Vol: $461,210

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
139W / 126L events
Realized PnL
$2,028
Win Rate
52%
139W / 126L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$89
Avg Loss
$-135

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,214 (2.0781544348992496% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3,039
Celtics vs. 76ers$817
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$357
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$322
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$304
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$300
Rockets vs. Lakers$296
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$282
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-25?$277
Pistons vs. Magic$275

Top Losers

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,319
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,465
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?$-708
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-592
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-514
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$-401
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-379
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-30?$-375
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-29?$-267
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?$-266

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.072
Sortino
-0.067
HHI
462
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.089
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
38%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 386s — normal for humanCV 2.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.4
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.8%
Mid (20-55c)46.8%
High (>55c)32.4%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 3:56:01 AM2 trades$3,1880 min
3/25/2026, 2:23:05 AM3 trades$3,1212 min
4/1/2026, 10:25:03 PM17 trades$2,7300 min
3/26/2026, 3:07:55 AM2 trades$1,3602 min
6/20/2026, 11:03:08 PM34 trades$1,25219 min
4/2/2026, 1:12:37 AM3 trades$9240 min
2/22/2026, 4:28:34 AM33 trades$8985 min
5/23/2026, 9:49:43 PM8 trades$7810 min
2/28/2026, 7:41:21 PM3 trades$7677 min
3/26/2026, 3:23:07 AM6 trades$7616 min
3/27/2026, 3:57:11 AM4 trades$6444 min
3/4/2026, 4:19:09 AM3 trades$6324 min
5/12/2026, 1:23:47 AM4 trades$6201 min
4/15/2026, 11:30:26 PM12 trades$6120 min
4/30/2026, 11:29:34 PM2 trades$6100 min
6/21/2026, 1:56:41 PM4 trades$6042 min
2/24/2026, 7:25:36 PM9 trades$6003 min
4/30/2026, 2:48:38 AM2 trades$6000 min
4/16/2026, 2:39:08 AM2 trades$5990 min
4/10/2026, 3:57:35 PM5 trades$5630 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
03-02
03-16
04-01
04-23
05-13
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.4/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20.8 / M46.8 / H32.4