@Pengub

#33,17482

0x3c69336f4e2021dec67d06d90e7ac38337404622

~225d· 2444 markets · 9069 tradesVol: $206,6392026-08-04 09:31:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (1248/2382)11.2/20
1.64x (win $7,867 / loss $4,808)10.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.63815/15
Sortino 14.42610/10
$+0.1442 per $1 invested7.2/10
HHI 19 (2382 markets)10/10
131/211 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($188 / $3,190)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+3,582
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
Consistent
131/211 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 6%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#742$2,686Vol: $73,484
🏛️ POLITICS#43,025$213Vol: $60,537
CRYPTO#51,944$328Vol: $46,657
SPORTS#114,362$113Vol: $14,774
💰 FINANCE#16,871$114Vol: $4,863
📈 ECONOMICS#23,537$30Vol: $3,052
🎭 CULTURE#61,935$12Vol: $1,781
💻 TECH#10,218$35Vol: $1,210
📢 MENTIONS#8,856$52Vol: $173

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,582
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$206,639
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2444
total markets
Trades
6656B / 2413S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~225d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $50
Month
$-2
Vol: $50
All Time
$3,582
Vol: $206,639

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
1248W / 1134L events
Realized PnL
$3,582
Win Rate
52%
1248W / 1134L
Profit Factor
1.64x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,186 (0.3310997758066632% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 49 °F or below on December 5?$984
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 48°F or below on December 7?$106
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 9?$97
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on December 22?$92
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on January 1?$80
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 3?$74
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?$74
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on January 24?$53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 4?$49
Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election?$49

Top Losers

Will Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 26, 2025?$-115
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 56-57°F on December 16?$-97
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on December 16?$-70
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 7?$-62
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 1?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on March 10?$-46
Will PSV win on 2026-01-24?$-45
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5$-36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 29?$-35
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 4?$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.190
Sortino
0.573
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.150
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.4
Active
Markets / Day
6.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
35.9m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 474s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency6.3 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49%
Mid (20-55c)29.6%
High (>55c)21.3%

Sessions

#12
12/6/2025, 2:43:27 AM7 trades$5950 min
7/3/2026, 6:17:58 AM7 trades$2421 min
3/23/2026, 1:51:13 PM13 trades$1948 min
4/23/2026, 1:19:56 PM13 trades$1851 min
12/12/2025, 6:52:55 PM8 trades$1778 min
3/28/2026, 7:30:17 AM17 trades$17614 min
3/20/2026, 7:37:47 AM13 trades$1656 min
3/27/2026, 4:57:01 PM6 trades$1562 min
12/9/2025, 3:48:58 PM12 trades$14210 min
3/27/2026, 8:15:51 AM14 trades$13022 min
3/21/2026, 7:09:57 AM11 trades$1229 min
1/4/2026, 7:03:43 PM17 trades$11627 min
3/26/2026, 3:32:33 PM7 trades$1136 min
3/6/2026, 9:52:21 PM8 trades$1117 min
3/8/2026, 8:30:11 PM16 trades$1078 min
12/17/2025, 5:01:47 AM2 trades$1071 min
3/20/2026, 5:12:17 AM3 trades$1050 min
3/12/2026, 6:12:11 PM6 trades$1058 min
3/20/2026, 5:30:03 PM6 trades$1040 min
6/13/2026, 7:04:39 AM6 trades$981 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-04
10-25
11-29
01-03
02-07
03-14
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
56% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49 / M29.6 / H21.3