@ThomasZup

#2,713,57422

0x3ca059819fcca55aa7d24496739124fb170a76e6

~15d· 22 markets · 96 tradesVol: $112,8122026-08-05 03:28:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (14/21)18.3/20
0.14x (win $58 / loss $421)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.0430/15
Sortino -8.2110/10
$-0.4895 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8229 (21 markets)0/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 1522% of peak ($389 / $26)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,549,218$-150Vol: $52,576
📈 ECONOMICS#648,405$-50Vol: $50,000
₿ CRYPTO#1,151,942$-10Vol: $10,000
🎭 CULTURE#166,313$1Vol: $180
💰 FINANCE#68,228$6Vol: $56

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$112,812
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
85B / 11S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-203
Vol: $112,812

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
14W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-203
Win Rate
67%
14W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.14x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-60

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36 (0.17704595723765054% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10
Azuro airdrop by June 30?$6
Trump in jail before election day?$6
Will YouTube take down Steven Crowder’s election livestream?$3
Infowars shuttered by Friday?$3
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?$2
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$2
Trump and Biden debate before Election?$2
Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$1

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-200
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$-160
Will a candidate from another party win Maine Presidential Election?$-23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 29?$-20
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-11
Biden drops out of presidential race?$-5
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.451
Sortino
-0.384
HHI
1077
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.459
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.6%
Top-5 markets
62%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.3m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 424s — normal for humanCV 2.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.57
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.4%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)16.5%

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 8:10:22 AM4 trades$50,0020 min
6/28/2026, 8:49:46 PM5 trades$9,9360 min
11/4/2024, 6:27:37 PM2 trades$2012 min
6/3/2024, 6:38:57 PM2 trades$1502 min
6/9/2024, 7:57:49 AM6 trades$1402 min
7/16/2024, 6:45:31 PM4 trades$835 min
9/18/2024, 2:52:09 PM1 trades$700 min
9/13/2024, 3:31:12 PM2 trades$582 min
2/3/2025, 10:36:30 PM3 trades$570 min
6/3/2024, 7:34:09 PM1 trades$350 min
11/1/2024, 11:21:22 AM1 trades$150 min
6/3/2024, 8:04:51 PM1 trades$130 min
10/17/2024, 2:24:57 PM1 trades$100 min
7/27/2024, 11:30:20 AM1 trades$30 min
7/17/2024, 6:35:09 PM1 trades$30 min
10/22/2024, 6:37:19 AM1 trades$20 min
10/22/2024, 9:07:14 PM2 trades$00 min
10/22/2024, 1:16:02 PM1 trades$00 min
10/22/2024, 7:23:04 PM2 trades$00 min
10/22/2024, 5:40:24 PM2 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-09
07-16
07-27
10-17
10-23
11-01
11-04
02-03
05-16
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 619 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.57/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.4 / M1.2 / H16.5