@FortunatelyFestive
#2,666310x3cafe19c407342bc7cea21424e861c37038c6d8a
~238d· 192 markets · 3314 tradesVol: $1,990,6752026-08-04 15:05:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
85% (141/165)20/20
0.10x (win $29,263 / loss $307,401)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1400/15
Sortino -2.1280/10
$-0.2644 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2270 (165 markets)1.1/10
59/71 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 3270% of peak ($299,622 / $9,163)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+69,538
DCA Master
Avg 15.9 entries/market
Whale
$1,052,072 invested
Consistent
59/71 profitable days
High Roller
$2,039/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,108$45,110Vol: $1,659,020
₿ CRYPTO#1,969$22,179Vol: $231,621
🎭 CULTURE#2,735$2,444Vol: $49,908
📈 ECONOMICS#6,163$326Vol: $31,636
💻 TECH#257,007$-806Vol: $6,851
💰 FINANCE#14,811$146Vol: $5,846
🌤️ WEATHER#5,684$150Vol: $5,794
Overview
#1Net PnL
$69,549
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,990,675
Total Redeem
$4,026
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
192
total markets
Trades
1132B / 2182S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~238d
Periods
#2Today
$121
Vol: $0
Week
$44
Vol: $829
Month
$349
Vol: $3,036
All Time
$69,549
Vol: $1,990,675
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
85%
141W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$69,538
Win Rate
85%
141W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$208
Avg Loss
$-12,808
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,779 (0.19815502925513062% of PnL)
Top Winners
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$6,644
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4,749
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$2,386
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$1,671
Xi Jinping out before October?$1,292
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1,213
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$957
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$852
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$638
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$608
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-296,351
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$-3,937
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-3,134
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$-1,723
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-1,606
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?$-322
Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?$-85
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$-79
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.111
Sortino
-0.046
HHI
936
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.400
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.5%
Top-5 markets
51.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.2
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 262s — normal for humanCV 3.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.93
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)2.8%
High (>55c)86.8%
Sessions
#126/1/2026, 2:53:48 PM101 trades$100,6383 min
8/15/2025, 3:32:38 PM3 trades$99,9873 min
11/16/2025, 7:41:50 AM6 trades$70,2904 min
11/19/2025, 8:41:45 AM2 trades$52,8250 min
11/18/2025, 9:04:27 AM2 trades$52,8000 min
4/21/2026, 12:43:54 AM61 trades$46,4171 min
6/1/2026, 2:23:40 PM32 trades$43,0659 min
12/9/2025, 1:03:46 PM7 trades$41,6646 min
6/1/2026, 1:02:09 PM55 trades$35,8609 min
11/19/2025, 10:39:17 AM2 trades$35,2000 min
11/17/2025, 12:39:19 AM2 trades$31,8580 min
6/1/2026, 2:00:50 PM22 trades$26,4440 min
8/8/2025, 12:51:53 PM4 trades$22,7561 min
2/24/2026, 7:49:50 PM3 trades$22,3984 min
1/5/2026, 3:01:33 PM2 trades$22,2850 min
6/1/2026, 1:45:45 PM19 trades$20,9500 min
7/21/2025, 11:35:02 AM2 trades$20,0041 min
7/22/2025, 11:49:44 AM2 trades$20,0001 min
12/9/2025, 2:28:54 PM3 trades$17,8401 min
11/18/2025, 8:57:43 AM2 trades$17,6250 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
05-03
07-30
12-08
04-24
05-23
06-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.3 / M2.8 / H86.8