@LinusLoeliger
#3,071,145400x3cb6c036c2e2af6b3b7fc5650c76fcffe2550f8f
~83d· 675 markets · 33866 tradesVol: $1,255,6772026-08-04 18:27:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
83% (552/669)20/20
0.27x (win $17,604 / loss $64,361)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8350/15
Sortino -2.8100/10
$-0.0692 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 90 (669 markets)10/10
71/83 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 32731% of peak ($46,900 / $143)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 83%
DCA Master
Avg 50.6 entries/market
Whale
$676,032 invested
Consistent
71/83 profitable days
High Roller
$3,908/day
Win Streak
28 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3🌤️ WEATHER#299,413$-40,963Vol: $1,152,207
₿ CRYPTO#1,604,893$-672Vol: $61,087
🏛️ POLITICS#1,612,692$-965Vol: $42,383
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-42,600
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,255,677
Total Redeem
$595
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
675
total markets
Trades
16349B / 17517S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d
Periods
#2Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-42,600
Vol: $1,255,677
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
83%
552W / 117L events
Realized PnL
$-42,600
Win Rate
83%
552W / 117L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-560
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,956 (0.045920503958182514% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?$1,091
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$464
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?$402
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?$344
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 2?$316
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?$316
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?$301
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$292
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 29?$281
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?$281
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$-32,172
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on March 30?$-6,240
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 12?$-6,027
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 30?$-5,260
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C or higher on March 26?$-2,829
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 23?$-1,283
Iran strike on US military by February 28?$-998
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on March 27?$-981
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 5?$-649
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 23?$-644
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.147
Sortino
-0.061
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.070
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
13.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
195.8
Very active
Markets / Day
3.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.6m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
292.0
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
57% gaps < 5s — fast executionCV 1.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock196 trades/day — automation3.9 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
50.57
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)10.8%
High (>55c)89%
Sessions
#124/28/2026, 7:25:38 AM407 trades$28,23421 min
2/21/2026, 6:01:36 AM21 trades$19,96817 min
5/14/2026, 6:49:07 AM488 trades$19,78914 min
7/13/2026, 3:50:29 PM282 trades$19,1429 min
5/11/2026, 7:44:44 AM534 trades$17,77719 min
4/29/2026, 7:49:48 AM423 trades$17,14316 min
4/2/2026, 7:47:53 AM532 trades$16,99224 min
5/8/2026, 7:09:58 AM1277 trades$12,24156 min
4/4/2026, 8:04:03 AM108 trades$11,8204 min
4/24/2026, 6:46:56 AM1374 trades$11,74744 min
4/27/2026, 7:40:16 AM452 trades$11,26728 min
6/5/2026, 11:52:40 AM221 trades$9,6298 min
5/6/2026, 2:02:18 PM609 trades$9,21432 min
6/9/2026, 8:29:54 AM201 trades$9,0967 min
6/15/2026, 6:10:21 AM274 trades$8,73716 min
6/10/2026, 6:02:48 AM532 trades$8,50720 min
3/30/2026, 8:39:56 AM80 trades$8,00017 min
3/30/2026, 6:46:56 AM26 trades$7,9003 min
6/18/2026, 8:15:58 AM143 trades$7,87310 min
6/4/2026, 10:04:12 AM170 trades$7,84615 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
03-23
04-22
05-05
05-31
06-17
07-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 169 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
76% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 50.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.2 / M10.8 / H89