@0x3Cb7D7…5370

#2,841,89666

0x3cb7d74d7af046f396897ed2a8548d41cd8d1a88

~96d· 1002 markets · 5753 tradesVol: $179,2982026-08-04 17:18:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (529/1002)11.4/20
1.13x (win $15,936 / loss $14,097)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.24515/15
Sortino 3.45110/10
$+0.0328 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 33 (1002 markets)10/10
54/95 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($970 / $2,639)6.6/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market
Whale
$55,999 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#297,457$-967Vol: $175,336
SPORTS#57,375$490Vol: $3,962

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-477
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$179,298
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1002
total markets
Trades
2689B / 3064S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~96d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
529W / 473L events
Realized PnL
$-477
Win Rate
53%
529W / 473L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,096 (2.2957554680298333% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?$430
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 30?$392
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?$274
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 2?$174
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 7?$163
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 10?$156
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?$154
76ers vs. Celtics$147
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 5?$144
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14?$143

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?$-577
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27?$-438
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 28?$-293
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?$-281
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?$-275
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on March 24?$-248
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 7?$-231
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C or below on June 10?$-231
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on April 3?$-205
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 24?$-184

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.117
Sortino
0.152
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
6.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.1
Active
Markets / Day
6.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.8m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 276s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock39 trades/day — high frequency6.8 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.76
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)39.9%
High (>55c)53.6%

Sessions

#12
3/2/2026, 4:23:23 PM12 trades$1,16412 min
6/27/2026, 5:02:01 AM2 trades$8470 min
3/4/2026, 1:25:29 AM8 trades$7489 min
4/4/2026, 1:38:53 AM2 trades$7200 min
3/21/2026, 2:27:37 PM5 trades$6553 min
3/3/2026, 3:18:07 PM12 trades$64012 min
5/6/2026, 2:09:40 AM28 trades$6214 min
6/5/2026, 2:37:40 PM8 trades$6052 min
3/24/2026, 1:10:33 PM9 trades$56113 min
6/15/2026, 12:52:49 PM3 trades$5520 min
3/31/2026, 2:07:33 AM2 trades$5190 min
3/23/2026, 1:39:39 AM2 trades$4820 min
3/4/2026, 5:45:51 AM5 trades$4810 min
5/7/2026, 12:14:40 AM33 trades$4751 min
3/24/2026, 12:03:35 PM3 trades$4711 min
3/30/2026, 4:16:11 PM1 trades$4650 min
5/4/2026, 2:06:50 AM19 trades$4655 min
5/6/2026, 2:31:06 PM31 trades$44113 min
6/17/2026, 8:46:56 AM10 trades$4281 min
4/4/2026, 5:08:03 AM6 trades$4112 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-15
03-30
05-02
05-17
06-13
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
92% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M39.9 / H53.6