@0x3cd6…afec

#2,758,03319

0x3cd61fb22a78c102aac0ed89712d5ccfee24afec

~13d· 56 markets · 212 tradesVol: $3,9352026-08-04 20:08:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (21/47)7.3/20
0.79x (win $170 / loss $215)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7740/15
Sortino -3.6940/10
$-0.1179 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 431 (47 markets)10/10
4/11 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($115 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#265,557$-25Vol: $1,462
₿ CRYPTO#1,533,236$-196Vol: $1,201
🏛️ POLITICS#1,447,406$-41Vol: $451
⚽ SPORTS#1,021,830$-2Vol: $396
💰 FINANCE#75,248$5Vol: $202
📢 MENTIONS#130,348$-10Vol: $131
📈 ECONOMICS#549,832$-3Vol: $57
🎭 CULTURE#71,796$9Vol: $25
💻 TECH#32,157$3Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-262
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,935
Total Redeem
$89
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
111B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-262
Vol: $3,935

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
21W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-262
Win Rate
45%
21W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $92 (0.350158451376427% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$48
Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth 2.0%-2.5%?$25
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$11
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $10
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?$8
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?$6
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$3
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$3

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-41
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-28
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?$-16
Will Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win Kontinental Hockey League?$-14
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-10
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 32%-34%?$-10
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?$-10
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$-10
Pepsi (PEP) Q2 organic revenue growth 2.5%-3%?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.138
Sortino
-0.316
HHI
514
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
41.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
41.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2458s — normal for humanCV 0.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.15
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.5%
Mid (20-55c)18%
High (>55c)50.5%

Sessions

#12
4/18/2026, 3:26:04 PM41 trades$782 min
6/25/2026, 10:22:23 PM18 trades$600 min
6/12/2026, 4:47:25 PM6 trades$450 min
6/30/2026, 2:37:46 AM4 trades$350 min
6/26/2026, 6:46:02 AM4 trades$250 min
6/25/2026, 10:31:04 PM12 trades$240 min
6/16/2026, 12:48:01 AM2 trades$230 min
6/26/2026, 12:43:59 PM6 trades$210 min
6/14/2026, 11:24:19 PM2 trades$200 min
6/26/2026, 1:42:32 AM8 trades$190 min
6/26/2026, 5:56:01 PM4 trades$140 min
6/19/2026, 5:35:23 AM2 trades$140 min
6/13/2026, 1:31:45 PM2 trades$130 min
6/16/2026, 2:50:54 AM2 trades$130 min
6/17/2026, 10:35:41 AM2 trades$130 min
6/17/2026, 3:45:14 PM2 trades$130 min
6/13/2026, 2:34:54 PM2 trades$120 min
6/27/2026, 12:47:14 PM4 trades$120 min
6/16/2026, 12:35:46 PM2 trades$120 min
6/16/2026, 4:52:59 PM3 trades$110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-15
04-18
06-13
06-14
06-16
06-17
06-19
06-25
06-26
06-27
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.5 / M18 / H50.5