@shitovic

#58,43192

0x3ce3682a0ec44f4a1a0d2d22f43d4e0fcd3d4aa8

~44d· 36 markets · 80 tradesVol: $12,5292026-08-04 23:40:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (16/23)19.8/20
2.02x (win $3,433 / loss $1,696)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.26015/15
Sortino 8.17510/10
$+0.2581 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 818 (23 markets)8.4/10
16/23 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($861 / $1,737)4.1/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+1,718
Diamond Hands
8% sells
Consistent
16/23 profitable days
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#22,312$1,962Vol: $10,434
🏛️ POLITICS#406,610$0Vol: $1,000
₿ CRYPTO#1,550,966$-245Vol: $890
💰 FINANCE#161,399$1Vol: $200
🌤️ WEATHER#75,301$0Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,718
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,529
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
74B / 6S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $117
Month
$1
Vol: $150
All Time
$1,718
Vol: $12,529

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
16W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$1,718
Win Rate
70%
16W / 7L
Profit Factor
2.02x
Avg Win
$215
Avg Loss
$-242

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,035 (1.1843345865974462% of PnL)

Top Winners

Mariners vs. Phillies$783
Dodgers vs. Angels$653
Brewers vs. Cubs$599
Royals vs. Guardians$549
Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2025-12-05?$480
Nationals vs. Braves$350
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$5
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $4
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$3
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?$2

Top Losers

Tigers vs. White Sox$-518
Rangers vs. Diamondbacks$-511
Reds vs. Dodgers$-350
XRP Up or Down on August 8?$-245
ATP Toronto – Tien vs. Opelka$-70
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-3
Will Alba Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.218
Sortino
0.335
HHI
642
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.298
Kelly %
32.9%
Half-Kelly
16.4%
Top-1 market
11.6%
Top-5 markets
46.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.4h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 7026s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)16.2%
High (>55c)83.8%

Sessions

#12
8/18/2025, 4:54:48 AM1 trades$7830 min
5/15/2025, 7:25:08 AM1 trades$6800 min
9/8/2025, 8:32:30 AM1 trades$5950 min
8/20/2025, 7:43:50 AM1 trades$5530 min
8/13/2025, 8:25:19 AM1 trades$5180 min
9/2/2025, 1:19:58 PM1 trades$5110 min
12/5/2025, 10:43:13 AM2 trades$5000 min
8/11/2025, 11:18:50 AM2 trades$4000 min
8/26/2025, 8:08:05 AM1 trades$3500 min
8/7/2025, 8:07:59 AM1 trades$2450 min
7/31/2025, 12:51:52 PM1 trades$700 min
5/21/2026, 4:34:59 PM1 trades$600 min
5/21/2026, 10:02:17 PM1 trades$600 min
5/13/2026, 11:29:34 AM1 trades$600 min
7/27/2026, 8:20:18 AM1 trades$590 min
7/29/2026, 5:14:45 PM1 trades$560 min
5/13/2026, 3:07:38 PM1 trades$490 min
5/26/2026, 2:43:41 PM1 trades$490 min
5/21/2026, 2:17:29 PM1 trades$480 min
8/3/2026, 11:47:18 PM1 trades$480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-15
08-11
08-20
09-08
03-26
04-27
05-14
05-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M16.2 / H83.8