@Mercutio2020
#2,073,724150x3d04e007cce7d4467f21bd27172ce0dff16bcd8e
~54d· 181 markets · 396 tradesVol: $8882026-08-04 18:53:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (68/177)4.2/20
0.58x (win $153 / loss $263)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4280/15
Sortino -3.4470/10
$-0.4636 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 974 (177 markets)7.6/10
21/51 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($110 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#1,273,514$-7Vol: $709
📢 MENTIONS#125,172$-9Vol: $114
🏛️ POLITICS#978,273$-2Vol: $42
💰 FINANCE#496,929$-2Vol: $17
📈 ECONOMICS#182,603$0Vol: $5
🎭 CULTURE#526,367$-1Vol: $1
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-20
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$888
Total Redeem
$7
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
181
total markets
Trades
197B / 199S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $23
Month
$1
Vol: $23
All Time
$-20
Vol: $888
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
68W / 109L events
Realized PnL
$-20
Win Rate
38%
68W / 109L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21 (1.0670025188916876% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$9
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$6
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?$6
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?$5
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-05?$5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?$4
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?$4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?$4
Top Losers
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-83
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-4
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-10?$-2
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-08?$-2
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?$-2
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-27?$-2
Will Ventforet Kōfu win on 2026-05-23?$-2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?$-2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.178
Sortino
-0.147
HHI
730
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.404
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.9%
Top-5 markets
33.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)64%
High (>55c)32.5%
Sessions
#127/15/2026, 10:17:19 AM2 trades$920 min
6/16/2026, 11:20:06 AM2 trades$380 min
5/23/2026, 8:37:53 AM16 trades$285 min
6/11/2026, 4:08:15 PM2 trades$200 min
5/16/2026, 10:07:34 AM16 trades$186 min
5/2/2026, 9:24:30 AM14 trades$178 min
5/9/2026, 10:01:33 AM14 trades$173 min
5/3/2026, 7:58:48 AM12 trades$164 min
5/14/2026, 7:49:55 AM12 trades$144 min
4/9/2026, 12:57:51 PM12 trades$1311 min
5/4/2026, 9:50:50 AM12 trades$135 min
5/5/2026, 10:17:42 PM8 trades$133 min
4/27/2026, 9:18:58 AM8 trades$121 min
4/24/2026, 3:45:38 PM12 trades$126 min
6/19/2026, 7:13:50 AM6 trades$121 min
5/10/2026, 7:34:12 AM10 trades$111 min
4/28/2026, 1:14:54 PM9 trades$114 min
5/5/2026, 11:13:14 AM6 trades$111 min
4/30/2026, 2:41:42 PM8 trades$100 min
5/1/2026, 2:33:58 PM8 trades$103 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-09
04-25
05-03
05-12
05-29
06-17
07-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.31/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.6 / M64 / H32.5