@0x3d05…acde

#145,51012

0x3d05cc5cdad7cf24b91acf2f5eaf5158a814acde

~59d· 772 markets · 4077 tradesVol: $59,8792026-08-04 21:13:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (97/582)0/20
0.77x (win $2,465 / loss $3,192)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8980/15
Sortino -4.2760/10
$-0.1302 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 61 (582 markets)10/10
21/57 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($960 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+301
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#50,066$161Vol: $29,417
🎭 CULTURE#55,560$16Vol: $9,712
💰 FINANCE#23,209$63Vol: $6,904
💻 TECH#9,326$42Vol: $5,669
🌤️ WEATHER#11,406$41Vol: $5,142
📈 ECONOMICS#119,772$1Vol: $1,293
📢 MENTIONS#99,384$-2Vol: $1,094
SPORTS#1,414,370$-15Vol: $141

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$301
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$59,879
Total Redeem
$3
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
772
total markets
Trades
3651B / 426S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $882
Week
$10
Vol: $2,003
Month
$8
Vol: $2,555
All Time
$301
Vol: $59,879

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
96W / 485L events
Realized PnL
$301
Win Rate
17%
96W / 485L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $395 (1.3131981382978724% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$197
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$107
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?$91
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?$88
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$76
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by July 31?$71
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$64
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?$62
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?$62
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$53

Top Losers

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$-57
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-49
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?$-40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?$-40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? $-39
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-38
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-36
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-36
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$-36

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.202
Sortino
-0.213
HHI
41
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
7.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
63.7
Very active
Markets / Day
12.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.8m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.8

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 381s — normal for humanCV 0.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock64 trades/day — mass trading12 markets/day — mass coverage90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.19
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.6%
Mid (20-55c)25.8%
High (>55c)46.6%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 2:18:07 AM33 trades$4414 min
6/4/2026, 7:26:48 PM12 trades$1490 min
6/17/2026, 9:21:17 PM72 trades$12449 min
7/22/2026, 8:44:49 AM2 trades$1150 min
6/14/2026, 9:02:39 PM58 trades$10729 min
6/23/2026, 4:18:35 PM30 trades$890 min
6/17/2026, 2:35:28 PM34 trades$5828 min
6/10/2026, 8:56:21 PM35 trades$5213 min
6/22/2026, 5:52:56 PM7 trades$4312 min
7/22/2026, 7:07:06 PM3 trades$380 min
7/6/2026, 5:23:47 PM2 trades$360 min
6/13/2026, 4:45:49 PM20 trades$3624 min
7/15/2026, 12:42:08 PM4 trades$352 min
6/26/2026, 1:00:22 PM16 trades$3318 min
7/22/2026, 3:51:46 PM5 trades$335 min
6/17/2026, 5:27:25 PM18 trades$2916 min
7/21/2026, 9:07:21 PM5 trades$291 min
6/17/2026, 1:58:29 PM14 trades$2929 min
6/14/2026, 6:37:13 PM15 trades$2814 min
6/17/2026, 3:10:11 PM14 trades$2819 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-17
06-26
07-05
07-14
07-23
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.6 / M25.8 / H46.6