@sobrals69

#2,802,45210

0x3d4ff6de3d4084dd01a095555a38e8eb5a56df6f

~45d· 85 markets · 423 tradesVol: $109,760 @sobrals692026-08-04 22:40:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (18/84)0/20
0.33x (win $289 / loss $890)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.6040/15
Sortino -7.8360/10
$-0.3073 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 303 (84 markets)10/10
8/37 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($706 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,773,141$-325Vol: $109,329
CRYPTO#1,187,370$-13Vol: $251
🏛️ POLITICS#1,264,489$-10Vol: $180

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-347
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$109,760
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
219B / 204S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
17W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$-347
Win Rate
20%
17W / 67L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $199 (0.5732111466528343% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$81
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$64
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$54
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$20
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-06?$13
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5

Top Losers

Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-05?$-106
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$-101
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-80
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-54
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-41
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-40
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-40
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-36
Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$-34
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-26

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.393
Sortino
-0.470
HHI
618
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.209
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
38.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 1.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.01
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.3%
Mid (20-55c)20.1%
High (>55c)30.6%

Sessions

#12
5/25/2026, 10:17:47 PM44 trades$21425 min
4/21/2026, 11:00:56 PM10 trades$2035 min
7/2/2026, 9:20:13 PM9 trades$1961 min
4/21/2026, 10:15:10 PM27 trades$19210 min
5/15/2026, 8:52:25 PM10 trades$1736 min
5/29/2026, 8:30:04 PM35 trades$16714 min
5/15/2026, 6:12:51 PM2 trades$1620 min
3/31/2026, 7:39:19 PM10 trades$1604 min
6/30/2026, 3:02:10 AM4 trades$1200 min
5/30/2026, 2:26:24 AM14 trades$1207 min
4/21/2026, 10:43:50 PM8 trades$1167 min
6/27/2026, 7:25:22 PM8 trades$1100 min
10/5/2025, 9:03:21 AM1 trades$1060 min
9/10/2025, 1:06:32 AM1 trades$1010 min
6/2/2026, 12:30:48 AM8 trades$806 min
6/28/2026, 4:05:31 PM8 trades$802 min
6/24/2026, 6:05:23 PM2 trades$750 min
4/21/2026, 10:32:32 PM4 trades$692 min
5/19/2026, 10:03:25 PM8 trades$676 min
6/25/2026, 10:09:08 PM2 trades$660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-10
01-08
04-07
05-15
06-04
06-21
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.01/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.3 / M20.1 / H30.6