@mathacec

#2,978,22377

0x3d60a4dcf361d6eed01bfadd0c6cfc2ac8866df2

~77d· 2378 markets · 21645 tradesVol: $305,5062026-08-04 23:40:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (1702/2312)20/20
1.22x (win $29,213 / loss $23,931)5.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.19415/15
Sortino 6.69910/10
$+0.0355 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 48 (2312 markets)10/10
41/76 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($1,767 / $6,428)8.5/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 74%
DCA Master
Avg 10.7 entries/market
Whale
$148,699 invested
High Roller
$1,882/day
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,605,929$-651Vol: $101,699
🌤️ WEATHER#258,740$-18Vol: $75,764
CRYPTO#1,606,402$-724Vol: $47,153
🎭 CULTURE#790,643$-155Vol: $15,997
SPORTS#1,027,304$-2Vol: $11,643
💰 FINANCE#15,408$136Vol: $6,627
📈 ECONOMICS#655,282$-76Vol: $4,130
📢 MENTIONS#149,497$-30Vol: $3,437
💻 TECH#248,135$-88Vol: $1,161

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,642
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$305,506
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2378
total markets
Trades
9815B / 11830S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d

Periods

#2
Today
$45
Vol: $511
Week
$70
Vol: $1,710
Month
$-97
Vol: $3,615
All Time
$-1,642
Vol: $305,506

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
74%
1699W / 611L events
Realized PnL
$-1,642
Win Rate
74%
1699W / 611L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-62

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,511 (2.1385476493553157% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,735
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$889
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$888
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$822
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?$733
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$690
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$497
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$383
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$319
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$232

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-1,314
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,121
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-926
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-587
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-491
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-427
Knicks vs. Spurs$-310
Knicks vs. Spurs$-303
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9?$-272
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-253

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.166
Sortino
0.304
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
11.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
274.0
Very active
Markets / Day
30.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
11.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
39 min
Avg Trades / Session
77.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock274 trades/day — automation30 markets/day — mass coverage45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.67
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.7%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)93.7%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 8:59:42 PM347 trades$4,420142 min
5/18/2026, 11:42:06 PM30 trades$4,2777 min
6/11/2026, 5:29:01 PM186 trades$2,24384 min
5/19/2026, 1:48:22 AM171 trades$1,53546 min
6/8/2026, 8:20:07 AM140 trades$1,51970 min
6/5/2026, 3:42:22 PM156 trades$1,49384 min
6/11/2026, 11:55:33 AM97 trades$1,13774 min
6/8/2026, 10:29:01 AM110 trades$1,11673 min
6/8/2026, 9:10:43 PM89 trades$1,09472 min
6/5/2026, 6:22:39 PM116 trades$1,07689 min
6/15/2026, 5:57:12 PM96 trades$1,02937 min
5/19/2026, 2:59:10 PM104 trades$1,0076 min
6/9/2026, 4:16:24 PM134 trades$99177 min
6/1/2026, 8:00:23 AM46 trades$9676 min
6/4/2026, 3:24:54 AM48 trades$91434 min
6/15/2026, 1:36:18 PM87 trades$90053 min
6/15/2026, 3:53:12 PM52 trades$89232 min
6/9/2026, 9:34:27 AM78 trades$86952 min
6/11/2026, 7:50:15 PM86 trades$82840 min
6/3/2026, 11:47:45 PM149 trades$82698 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-18
05-30
06-11
06-23
07-05
07-19
07-31
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.67/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.7 / M5.6 / H93.7