@0x3D70bf…5481

#2,837,6339

0x3d70bf1dfa8c65d2fb4d186767e7b9b1250a2471

~21d· 165 markets · 359 tradesVol: $43,2082026-08-05 16:38:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (20/161)0/20
0.37x (win $321 / loss $863)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -13.9320/15
Sortino -11.4900/10
$-0.4944 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 699 (161 markets)9/10
3/21 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($542 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
80% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#739,215$-27Vol: $15,287
₿ CRYPTO#1,488,556$-114Vol: $12,880
💰 FINANCE#49,988$13Vol: $4,070
🏛️ POLITICS#1,533,572$-114Vol: $3,952
⚽ SPORTS#1,601,797$-53Vol: $3,697
📢 MENTIONS#167,161$-144Vol: $2,605
🌤️ WEATHER#233,421$-6Vol: $552
💻 TECH#226,845$-10Vol: $166

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-455
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,208
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
165
total markets
Trades
189B / 170S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-455
Vol: $43,208

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
12%
20W / 141L events
Realized PnL
$-455
Win Rate
12%
20W / 141L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $166 (0.3652624870898983% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$59
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$54
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$53
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?$34
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8)$26
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$13
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$8
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$8

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$-42
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$-42
Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)$-40
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-34
Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week? (February 15)$-34
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 15)$-30
Will Trump say "Stagflation" this week? (February 8)$-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-20
Will Hong Kong record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.712
Sortino
-0.762
HHI
199
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.491
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
21.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
50s
between trades
Avg Gap
54.2m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 50s — normal for humanCV 1.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)80.4%
Mid (20-55c)14.8%
High (>55c)4.8%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 11:37:13 AM49 trades$1,46012 min
6/11/2026, 5:09:55 PM29 trades$5716 min
5/1/2026, 5:33:14 AM12 trades$2734 min
6/5/2026, 5:02:25 PM27 trades$1637 min
5/14/2026, 3:54:54 PM20 trades$1341 min
2/12/2026, 5:18:55 PM10 trades$13212 min
2/6/2026, 2:52:51 AM9 trades$13116 min
7/21/2026, 3:30:25 AM31 trades$1202 min
2/9/2026, 4:36:03 PM1 trades$890 min
2/9/2026, 4:03:29 PM8 trades$846 min
2/13/2026, 7:02:15 AM2 trades$790 min
2/7/2026, 3:11:39 AM13 trades$7518 min
2/10/2026, 2:37:53 PM8 trades$657 min
2/9/2026, 9:00:33 PM1 trades$580 min
7/4/2026, 5:00:13 PM10 trades$577 min
2/12/2026, 4:52:55 PM1 trades$470 min
2/8/2026, 1:54:43 PM3 trades$454 min
2/9/2026, 2:32:25 AM8 trades$425 min
2/11/2026, 4:43:19 PM2 trades$400 min
2/20/2026, 4:31:14 PM2 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
02-09
02-12
02-16
03-17
06-05
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.35/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L80.4 / M14.8 / H4.8