@p4574-0r4cl3

#2,473,41723

0x3daa41b80245ab0690483f2d5c9ed0a0ffba56bd

~13d· 78 markets · 140 tradesVol: $2,6412026-08-04 19:47:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (32/66)9.2/20
0.73x (win $129 / loss $176)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9900/15
Sortino -5.4840/10
$-0.0678 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 458 (66 markets)10/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($99 / $0)0/10

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,417,233$-30Vol: $1,099
💰 FINANCE#452,361$-1Vol: $583
CRYPTO#1,372,194$-44Vol: $511
🎭 CULTURE#619,631$-4Vol: $214
💻 TECH#238,113$-25Vol: $104
📈 ECONOMICS#25,999$25Vol: $84
SPORTS#414,612$1Vol: $46

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-77
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,641
Total Redeem
$16
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
103B / 37S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-77
Vol: $2,641

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
32W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-77
Win Rate
48%
32W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $68 (0.8807172557172558% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$39
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.60 in February?$15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$14
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$13
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$7
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?$6
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?$6
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in January?$6
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?$5
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$3

Top Losers

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?$-20
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$-20
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-10
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?$-10
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?$-10
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?$-10
Will XRP reach $2.60 in January?$-10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-10
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.249
Sortino
-0.339
HHI
429
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.073
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
37.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.64
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.4%
Mid (20-55c)17.5%
High (>55c)61.2%

Sessions

#12
4/13/2026, 11:38:51 AM16 trades$18915 min
7/14/2026, 7:15:22 PM26 trades$1891 min
2/13/2026, 1:14:27 PM13 trades$7811 min
4/13/2026, 11:29:29 AM7 trades$504 min
2/3/2026, 12:28:10 PM1 trades$500 min
1/7/2026, 10:48:19 AM8 trades$502 min
2/3/2026, 12:46:48 PM1 trades$490 min
2/20/2026, 2:34:20 PM9 trades$405 min
2/16/2026, 11:28:59 AM6 trades$309 min
2/20/2026, 10:32:34 AM2 trades$271 min
4/13/2026, 9:00:47 AM4 trades$270 min
1/22/2026, 7:46:04 AM2 trades$251 min
4/13/2026, 11:08:41 AM4 trades$224 min
1/22/2026, 12:05:58 PM1 trades$200 min
2/2/2026, 5:39:54 PM6 trades$191 min
4/13/2026, 11:23:57 AM4 trades$180 min
1/22/2026, 12:21:22 PM3 trades$156 min
2/2/2026, 8:56:44 PM3 trades$150 min
2/13/2026, 1:33:39 PM4 trades$156 min
2/20/2026, 10:38:34 AM3 trades$156 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
01-22
01-23
02-02
02-03
02-13
02-16
02-17
02-20
02-28
04-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.4 / M17.5 / H61.2