@HexFragLord

#2,858,21010

0x3dd8444ede5439a194a49f0440009db5eb718c69

~56d· 123 markets · 322 tradesVol: $21,1212026-08-05 15:50:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (20/103)0/20
0.38x (win $288 / loss $754)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.6010/15
Sortino -7.9380/10
$-0.2538 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 219 (103 markets)10/10
8/43 profitable days (19%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($466 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,475,309$-56Vol: $11,815
🎭 CULTURE#765,173$-53Vol: $4,454
₿ CRYPTO#1,568,955$-320Vol: $2,339
💰 FINANCE#588,716$-16Vol: $1,283
💻 TECH#238,896$-26Vol: $764
⚽ SPORTS#1,518,743$-29Vol: $361
📢 MENTIONS#142,384$-20Vol: $56

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-528
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,121
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
123
total markets
Trades
200B / 122S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$-33
Vol: $0
Week
$-34
Vol: $0
Month
$-32
Vol: $0
All Time
$-528
Vol: $21,121

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
20W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$-496
Win Rate
19%
20W / 83L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $150 (0.3034081966220715% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$64
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$58
Grokipedia released by December 31?$29
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?$22
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?$18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 21?$17
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$12
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$11
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$10
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?$10

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$-90
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$-35
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?$-30
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-30
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$-29
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$-26
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$-25
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?$-23
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?$-21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 17?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.393
Sortino
-0.476
HHI
100
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.354
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.5%
Mid (20-55c)43%
High (>55c)12.5%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 1:46:36 AM16 trades$5974 min
5/12/2026, 1:39:09 AM13 trades$2554 min
6/29/2026, 12:33:02 AM24 trades$2466 min
10/10/2025, 9:23:38 PM6 trades$1873 min
4/20/2026, 1:39:24 PM9 trades$1412 min
10/11/2025, 2:43:24 PM8 trades$10715 min
10/16/2025, 9:13:13 PM3 trades$1041 min
10/26/2025, 11:13:43 PM6 trades$793 min
10/18/2025, 3:12:25 PM4 trades$645 min
10/17/2025, 4:06:53 AM2 trades$570 min
10/17/2025, 3:24:51 AM2 trades$552 min
10/4/2025, 6:57:31 AM4 trades$549 min
10/3/2025, 4:17:23 PM7 trades$535 min
7/29/2025, 3:36:13 AM3 trades$508 min
10/2/2025, 9:09:09 AM4 trades$504 min
11/2/2025, 8:26:19 PM5 trades$503 min
9/30/2025, 11:53:35 PM6 trades$4811 min
10/12/2025, 2:01:58 PM3 trades$461 min
10/10/2025, 3:26:06 PM4 trades$453 min
10/1/2025, 12:27:45 PM9 trades$428 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-29
08-12
10-04
10-13
10-24
11-22
05-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.19/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.5 / M43 / H12.5