@0x3e0d…c3fb

14

0x3e0d4102d5411aca7a42bf7b5f727fe92651c3fb

~39d· 190 markets · 1113 trades2026-08-05 00:12:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (67/190)2.6/20
0.68x (win $5,137 / loss $7,597)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0830/15
Sortino -5.3590/10
$-0.1606 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 295 (190 markets)10/10
12/35 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 959% of peak ($2,746 / $286)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,512
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,318
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
190
total markets
Trades
424B / 689S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
67W / 123L events
Realized PnL
$-1,512
Win Rate
35%
67W / 123L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$77
Avg Loss
$-64

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,533 (1.0141139433061284% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $82000 on April 4?$748
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$493
Nuggets vs. Warriors$292
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals$265
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$256
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$238
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 0.5$176
Will Biden say "Trump" during drop out speech?$168
Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview?$147
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?$103

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 5?$-967
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$-719
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-714
Hurricanes vs. Red Wings$-400
Solana above $150 on August 16?$-386
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score$-320
Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during tariff event on April 2?$-300
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?$-189
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-05?$-184
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?$-136

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.262
Sortino
-0.271
HHI
328
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.161
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
31.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 141s — normal for humanCV 2.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.86
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)44.1%
High (>55c)35.8%

Sessions

#12
4/4/2025, 10:03:11 PM8 trades$1,72111 min
7/3/2026, 8:09:32 PM13 trades$1,6287 min
4/4/2025, 4:13:59 PM2 trades$1,3401 min
7/3/2026, 8:54:35 PM2 trades$1,3230 min
8/13/2024, 3:20:07 PM2 trades$8975 min
4/5/2025, 10:21:21 AM1 trades$8700 min
6/20/2026, 3:13:35 PM79 trades$80920 min
6/20/2026, 8:38:29 AM100 trades$80340 min
11/5/2024, 3:49:37 PM1 trades$7140 min
7/3/2026, 8:03:23 PM2 trades$6520 min
7/1/2026, 10:23:55 PM2 trades$5750 min
6/20/2026, 12:22:08 PM48 trades$56726 min
4/5/2025, 3:14:16 AM1 trades$5410 min
6/20/2026, 7:14:26 AM81 trades$48347 min
8/13/2024, 9:52:04 AM3 trades$4381 min
6/29/2026, 7:26:41 PM4 trades$4252 min
6/20/2026, 2:20:32 PM42 trades$4247 min
6/20/2026, 11:07:14 PM6 trades$4146 min
6/20/2026, 4:00:20 AM4 trades$4063 min
8/13/2024, 4:38:26 PM1 trades$4020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-09
07-18
07-27
08-13
06-18
06-27
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 698 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.86/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20 / M44.1 / H35.8