ShadowJeffra

@ShadowJeffra

#2,834,85333

0x3e77b6708b5adbab5225255111c570bc7423d01b

~99d· 2013 markets · 4957 tradesVol: $42,7562026-08-05 15:51:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (1387/2004)19.6/20
0.84x (win $1,791 / loss $2,130)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7740/15
Sortino -5.3310/10
$-0.0325 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 35 (2004 markets)10/10
41/97 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($338 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,559,411$-275Vol: $25,683
SPORTS#1,716,807$-148Vol: $5,826
📈 ECONOMICS#57,739$5Vol: $5,097
🏛️ POLITICS#1,386,620$-22Vol: $3,123
🎭 CULTURE#697,923$-11Vol: $1,732
💻 TECH#30,841$3Vol: $872
💰 FINANCE#76,884$5Vol: $359
📢 MENTIONS#79,162$-1Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-445
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,756
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2013
total markets
Trades
3127B / 1830S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $154
Week
$5
Vol: $293
Month
$6
Vol: $643
All Time
$-445
Vol: $42,756

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
1387W / 617L events
Realized PnL
$-451
Win Rate
69%
1387W / 617L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $45 (0.09938301744418306% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$19
Solana Up or Down - July 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$13
Solana Up or Down - January 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$13
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$11
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$8

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$-40
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$-17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$-15
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.249
Sortino
-0.284
HHI
18
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
6.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.3
Active
Markets / Day
8.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.8m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 341s — normal for humanCV 1.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency8.2 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.44
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)22.8%
High (>55c)59.2%

Sessions

#12
1/30/2026, 4:41:50 PM99 trades$18132 min
7/30/2026, 5:37:26 PM13 trades$1600 min
6/29/2026, 2:41:01 PM2 trades$1600 min
1/26/2026, 2:26:30 AM47 trades$8024 min
1/19/2026, 10:53:24 PM40 trades$7717 min
1/23/2026, 8:32:52 PM7 trades$705 min
1/19/2026, 9:28:04 AM17 trades$6715 min
1/19/2026, 11:52:56 AM14 trades$656 min
1/20/2026, 1:25:44 AM15 trades$611 min
1/19/2026, 10:29:16 PM27 trades$5811 min
1/19/2026, 12:09:14 PM17 trades$549 min
7/30/2026, 1:26:36 PM4 trades$520 min
1/11/2026, 9:58:04 AM7 trades$511 min
1/20/2026, 9:50:30 AM12 trades$501 min
1/19/2026, 10:56:00 AM11 trades$472 min
1/20/2026, 6:24:22 AM20 trades$4610 min
1/23/2026, 1:30:34 AM8 trades$4414 min
1/1/2026, 5:46:25 PM1 trades$400 min
1/19/2026, 2:24:54 PM7 trades$403 min
1/1/2026, 5:01:51 PM8 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-01
12-28
01-15
01-31
06-30
07-16
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18 / M22.8 / H59.2