@0x3e8eAa…4630

#38,89624

0x3e8eaa6d262bbaacebfd52f90609a341a3909665

~26d· 182 markets · 1162 tradesVol: $212,2392026-08-04 19:57:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (84/182)8.1/20
0.74x (win $24,238 / loss $32,832)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0000/15
Sortino -3.1220/10
$-0.1567 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 164 (182 markets)10/10
14/26 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 70560% of peak ($10,542 / $15)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+2,913
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$54,829 invested
High Roller
$1,523/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#10,411$4,398Vol: $199,440
🌤️ WEATHER#298,271$-1,485Vol: $12,799

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,913
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$212,239
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
182
total markets
Trades
330B / 832S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
84W / 98L events
Realized PnL
$2,913
Win Rate
46%
84W / 98L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$289
Avg Loss
$-365

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,634 (1.9341104829380646% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$3,285
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$1,175
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$1,175
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$1,057
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$1,030
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$923
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$824
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$755
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5$729
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$705

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-9,989
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-2,000
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?$-1,200
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 17?$-1,098
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5$-1,000
United States vs. Australia: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-1,000
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-800
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5$-800
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$-600
Mexico to score first vs. England?$-600

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.154
Sortino
-0.123
HHI
265
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.6%
Top-5 markets
27.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.3
Active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 381s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency5.1 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.73
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)16.4%
High (>55c)71.5%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 4:55:52 AM5 trades$4,9590 min
6/26/2026, 5:50:29 AM10 trades$3,3434 min
7/1/2026, 2:29:17 PM12 trades$3,1591 min
6/17/2026, 7:10:04 PM14 trades$2,7766 min
7/6/2026, 10:21:04 PM2 trades$2,7030 min
6/23/2026, 12:59:58 AM12 trades$2,5126 min
6/22/2026, 6:57:50 PM2 trades$2,3030 min
7/4/2026, 2:28:08 PM6 trades$2,3031 min
6/18/2026, 11:40:44 PM6 trades$2,0262 min
7/11/2026, 4:27:38 PM8 trades$1,7722 min
6/27/2026, 10:46:50 PM2 trades$1,7310 min
7/5/2026, 10:49:40 PM6 trades$1,6672 min
6/22/2026, 2:30:07 AM2 trades$1,6040 min
6/18/2026, 6:04:38 PM2 trades$1,5870 min
6/26/2026, 4:03:26 AM2 trades$1,5870 min
6/17/2026, 5:26:55 PM6 trades$1,5780 min
6/18/2026, 3:23:13 AM19 trades$1,5339 min
6/23/2026, 9:31:16 AM5 trades$1,5150 min
6/24/2026, 7:43:49 AM7 trades$1,4584 min
6/26/2026, 1:08:16 AM18 trades$1,42716 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-19
06-24
06-28
07-03
07-07
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
71.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.1 / M16.4 / H71.5