Lincolm

@Lincolm

#1,047,19246

0x3ed1eda43164a59c3852518599c0542e2a75fe3f

~14d· 75 markets · 208 tradesVol: $5832026-08-04 21:05:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (16/74)0/20
1.55x (win $1 / loss $1)9.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.48415/15
Sortino 7.33110/10
$+0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 355 (74 markets)10/10
5/14 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 134% of peak ($0 / $0)0/10

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#666,313$-0Vol: $159
💰 FINANCE#289,918$0Vol: $114
₿ CRYPTO#723,847$-0Vol: $87
🎭 CULTURE#399,954$-0Vol: $75
⚽ SPORTS#690,560$-0Vol: $63
📈 ECONOMICS#220,882$0Vol: $54
🌤️ WEATHER#163,839$-0Vol: $23
💻 TECH#141,213$-0Vol: $7
📢 MENTIONS#64,651$-0Vol: $0

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-0
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$583
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
75B / 133S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-0
Vol: $583

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
16W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$-0
Win Rate
22%
16W / 57L
Profit Factor
1.56x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $0 (2.4499999999999997% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$0
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 52m?$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$0
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be at least 8% in May?$0
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or higher on July 17?$0
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)$0

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 8?$-0
Will United Arab Emirates win the 2025 Asia Cup?$-0
Will the Powerball jackpot hit $2 billion by September 14?$-0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?$-0
Will "Hamilton" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $11m?$-0
Will Rickie Fowler win the 2025 WM Phoenix Open?$-0
Will Green Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$-0
Heat vs. Bucks$-0
Solana dip to 175 September 1–7?$-0
Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.125
Sortino
0.425
HHI
558
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
42.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6m
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 0.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.03
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)97.3%

Sessions

#12
2/25/2026, 3:19:32 AM16 trades$9111 min
9/7/2025, 6:22:16 PM33 trades$909 min
6/23/2026, 5:08:16 AM22 trades$888 min
3/9/2026, 3:54:03 AM12 trades$869 min
12/4/2025, 3:47:25 AM32 trades$3617 min
9/7/2025, 2:30:22 PM8 trades$232 min
4/15/2026, 8:09:24 AM4 trades$200 min
4/15/2026, 9:30:34 AM4 trades$180 min
6/30/2026, 4:02:59 AM4 trades$182 min
7/27/2026, 7:28:55 AM2 trades$140 min
7/27/2026, 7:36:15 AM4 trades$130 min
2/25/2026, 3:38:08 AM5 trades$106 min
1/17/2026, 4:35:34 AM4 trades$93 min
11/7/2025, 7:52:15 AM10 trades$94 min
2/5/2025, 8:07:36 AM12 trades$73 min
11/7/2025, 7:42:07 AM5 trades$64 min
1/17/2026, 4:48:18 AM4 trades$54 min
10/31/2025, 3:12:09 PM2 trades$52 min
7/17/2025, 7:07:42 PM13 trades$54 min
10/31/2025, 3:19:27 PM5 trades$53 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-05
09-07
11-07
12-28
02-25
04-15
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.7 / M0 / H97.3