LuckasVane

@LuckasVane

#302,67210

0x3fb0d286e44f9f3b349725bb8cd1344a3452a112

~65d· 105 markets · 379 tradesVol: $11,0572026-08-04 23:02:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (20/91)0/20
0.60x (win $113 / loss $187)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0830/15
Sortino -5.7110/10
$-0.1381 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 546 (91 markets)9.8/10
14/50 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 715% of peak ($95 / $13)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+56
Lottery Player
70% entries < $0.20

Categories

9
SPORTS#448,376$1Vol: $3,661
🏛️ POLITICS#97,733$42Vol: $2,382
📢 MENTIONS#103,010$-3Vol: $185
🎭 CULTURE#717,585$-18Vol: $71
📈 ECONOMICS#218,399$0Vol: $56
💰 FINANCE#136,945$1Vol: $44
💻 TECH#202,734$-2Vol: $41
CRYPTO#791,515$-0Vol: $22
🌤️ WEATHER#77,276$0Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$56
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,057
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
105
total markets
Trades
233B / 146S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~65d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$7
Vol: $0
Month
$9
Vol: $0
All Time
$56
Vol: $11,057

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
20W / 71L events
Realized PnL
$56
Win Rate
22%
20W / 71L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $60 (1.070543887991384% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$45
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$7
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026?$5
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$4
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner$4
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4

Top Losers

Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$-31
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-28
Evo Morales arrested by May 31$-13
Will Fnatic win LEC 2026 Spring?$-11
Will GIANTX win LEC 2026 Spring?$-10
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-08?$-9
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?$-5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-4
Will Movistar KOI win LEC 2026 Spring?$-4
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.263
Sortino
-0.323
HHI
724
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.127
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
52.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 632s — normal for humanCV 2.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.27
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)70.4%
Mid (20-55c)17.2%
High (>55c)12.4%

Sessions

#12
7/13/2026, 2:37:58 AM21 trades$2133 min
4/21/2026, 2:23:26 PM3 trades$860 min
7/18/2026, 6:22:33 PM2 trades$840 min
4/6/2026, 12:42:15 AM7 trades$720 min
7/18/2026, 5:33:36 AM8 trades$604 min
6/9/2026, 10:52:06 PM15 trades$447 min
4/1/2026, 12:50:47 PM5 trades$420 min
5/15/2026, 4:24:18 PM4 trades$400 min
7/13/2026, 2:58:26 AM2 trades$390 min
4/10/2026, 1:23:21 PM2 trades$390 min
7/21/2026, 10:18:04 PM2 trades$370 min
5/22/2026, 7:16:07 PM2 trades$360 min
7/15/2026, 9:12:49 PM2 trades$320 min
5/4/2026, 1:58:54 PM6 trades$310 min
3/10/2026, 9:52:21 PM1 trades$270 min
4/8/2026, 10:02:59 PM6 trades$272 min
6/7/2026, 3:04:27 PM9 trades$261 min
5/5/2026, 2:31:40 PM14 trades$262 min
4/20/2026, 2:58:34 PM5 trades$210 min
7/1/2026, 5:29:17 PM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
03-21
04-08
04-24
06-11
07-10
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 127 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.27/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L70.4 / M17.2 / H12.4