@instigo
#2,945,872100x404376e2609b00e125f3fec7088681cf14bc2bc7
~21d· 66 markets · 369 tradesVol: $21,4652026-08-04 18:59:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
15% (10/66)0/20
0.20x (win $731 / loss $3,574)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -16.5100/15
Sortino -12.8480/10
$-0.8816 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 412 (66 markets)10/10
1/18 profitable days (6%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,844 / $0)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,835,546$-1,175Vol: $21,465
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,175
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,465
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
133B / 236S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
15%
10W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$-1,175
Win Rate
15%
10W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$73
Avg Loss
$-78
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $378 (0.3215316381343163% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$173
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$115
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$90
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$62
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$59
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37
Top Losers
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-420
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-264
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-168
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-162
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-160
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-144
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-141
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-136
Will Ghana reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-133
Will Ghana reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-117
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.840
Sortino
-0.969
HHI
620
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.708
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
43.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 123s — normal for humanCV 0.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity13 trades/day — very active2.4 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.24
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)36.1%
Mid (20-55c)44.4%
High (>55c)19.5%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 2:40:32 PM37 trades$2,0908 min
7/9/2026, 5:06:16 PM8 trades$1,0144 min
6/22/2026, 4:55:19 PM25 trades$7699 min
6/24/2026, 5:16:13 AM16 trades$7538 min
6/25/2026, 2:34:41 PM20 trades$6336 min
7/15/2026, 1:06:47 AM2 trades$5550 min
6/28/2026, 3:18:46 PM12 trades$4808 min
6/19/2026, 1:21:20 PM14 trades$4229 min
6/24/2026, 1:27:31 AM12 trades$3983 min
7/12/2026, 12:00:07 PM2 trades$3010 min
6/24/2026, 10:44:16 AM3 trades$2520 min
6/19/2026, 6:31:26 AM10 trades$2384 min
6/21/2026, 2:55:22 AM3 trades$2360 min
7/2/2026, 5:28:34 AM14 trades$2115 min
7/1/2026, 10:09:13 AM8 trades$2093 min
7/5/2026, 2:06:04 AM12 trades$1986 min
6/18/2026, 8:55:07 AM10 trades$1836 min
6/30/2026, 8:09:46 AM12 trades$1834 min
6/20/2026, 1:16:55 PM4 trades$1750 min
6/25/2026, 4:25:29 AM2 trades$1690 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-23
06-26
07-01
07-05
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.24/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.1 / M44.4 / H19.5