@Armstrog

#2,194,89923

0x404a05d8cce8745b74b7d8d3fa54f4a4419e5927

~40d· 66 markets · 150 tradesVol: $54,940 @cFikTdaFoBfwMFT2026-08-05 17:24:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (35/57)15.7/20
0.59x (win $149 / loss $254)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1990/15
Sortino -2.2790/10
$-0.0106 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2706 (57 markets)0/10
16/27 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 476% of peak ($193 / $41)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,324,133$-14Vol: $27,687
SPORTS#1,417,752$-15Vol: $26,061
💰 FINANCE#480,239$-1Vol: $385
CRYPTO#1,113,608$-8Vol: $295
📈 ECONOMICS#210,455$0Vol: $285
🎭 CULTURE#130,746$2Vol: $108
💻 TECH#16,569$12Vol: $101

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-29
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,940
Total Redeem
$17
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
81B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-29
Vol: $54,940

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
35W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-29
Win Rate
61%
35W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $68 (2.3561501042390547% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$14
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$12
Will Jalen Carter be traded?$9
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$8
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$7
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$6
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$6
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$4

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-127
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-42
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $-16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-15
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-15
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$-10
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-9
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-7
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$-6
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.113
Sortino
-0.069
HHI
1540
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.5%
Top-5 markets
66.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
41.9m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 3.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.77
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)88.9%

Sessions

#12
3/5/2026, 8:13:19 AM3 trades$3,2411 min
2/28/2026, 2:07:29 PM2 trades$3,2070 min
2/19/2026, 10:40:40 AM6 trades$3,0832 min
2/26/2026, 2:51:52 AM2 trades$1,6230 min
3/7/2026, 4:03:45 AM1 trades$1,6080 min
2/17/2026, 8:13:23 AM4 trades$1,5592 min
4/29/2026, 10:49:34 AM13 trades$2243 min
7/2/2026, 7:38:38 AM7 trades$1982 min
4/8/2026, 1:26:07 PM15 trades$1841 min
1/13/2026, 8:08:35 AM2 trades$1570 min
4/17/2026, 6:58:50 AM13 trades$1544 min
12/19/2025, 10:24:38 AM3 trades$1440 min
12/2/2025, 6:55:22 AM3 trades$1231 min
6/13/2026, 10:29:07 AM8 trades$1221 min
12/7/2025, 7:05:01 AM2 trades$1040 min
11/30/2025, 7:07:21 AM2 trades$920 min
11/21/2025, 6:20:09 AM3 trades$880 min
11/24/2025, 7:32:33 AM2 trades$850 min
1/12/2026, 9:52:32 AM3 trades$831 min
12/10/2025, 7:27:44 AM2 trades$830 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-13
12-07
12-27
02-05
02-26
04-01
05-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.1 / M0 / H88.9