@Metrosax

#440,68519

0x404dba4cc0b3915c52e4bb41c3d4c3417e5184cd

~14d· 28 markets · 71 tradesVol: $4,3482026-08-04 15:18:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (11/28)4.6/20
0.66x (win $57 / loss $87)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1760/15
Sortino -4.4440/10
$-0.1497 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 687 (28 markets)9.1/10
7/14 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 537% of peak ($40 / $7)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+16

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#17,591$17Vol: $2,325
CRYPTO#873,338$-1Vol: $2,022

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,348
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
45B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $35
Week
$14
Vol: $108
Month
$8
Vol: $124
All Time
$16
Vol: $4,348

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
11W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$16
Win Rate
39%
11W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26 (1.623915737298637% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3000 and $3100 on July 14 at 5PM ET?$10
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 10?$9
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 30?$6
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 1AM ET$6
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on July 22?$6
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 18?$5
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 15?$4
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 4AM ET$4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 22?$3
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 3?$3

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 30?$-24
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 5AM ET$-19
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3000 on July 15 at 5PM ET?$-11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 18?$-9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?$-7
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 3AM ET$-5
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 26?$-4
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 6AM ET$-2
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3000 on July 13 at 5PM ET?$-2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 20?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.211
Sortino
-0.212
HHI
677
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.150
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.9%
Top-5 markets
48.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
36.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2186s — normal for humanCV 0.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.54
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.4%
Mid (20-55c)40%
High (>55c)55.6%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 4:12:28 PM2 trades$430 min
7/29/2026, 5:33:00 PM6 trades$222 min
7/14/2025, 8:40:20 AM2 trades$161 min
7/17/2026, 8:33:48 PM2 trades$120 min
7/29/2026, 5:50:09 PM2 trades$120 min
7/14/2025, 11:16:50 AM3 trades$121 min
7/13/2025, 8:16:14 PM1 trades$100 min
7/14/2025, 7:57:10 AM1 trades$100 min
7/17/2026, 4:42:30 AM2 trades$100 min
7/23/2026, 7:56:37 AM2 trades$100 min
7/14/2025, 10:27:36 AM1 trades$100 min
7/21/2026, 9:04:04 AM3 trades$80 min
7/29/2026, 4:57:59 PM2 trades$80 min
7/14/2025, 11:06:08 AM2 trades$80 min
7/24/2026, 2:57:06 PM3 trades$70 min
7/17/2026, 7:03:09 PM1 trades$70 min
7/15/2026, 2:42:28 AM2 trades$70 min
7/26/2026, 2:20:07 PM2 trades$70 min
7/22/2026, 5:14:21 AM2 trades$60 min
7/17/2026, 10:33:34 PM2 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-13
07-09
07-15
07-20
07-22
07-24
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 381 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
50% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.4 / M40 / H55.6