@niftynifty

#9,9330

0x40e291995937fa478c79dbc0c3c154512b97565b

~56d· 25 markets · 700 tradesVol: $1,481,8882026-08-04 23:35:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (2/20)0/20
0.57x (win $3,884 / loss $6,874)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0200/15
Sortino -4.1910/10
$-0.0223 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4530 (20 markets)0/10
1/12 profitable days (8%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($6,868 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+15,492
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
Whale
$133,856 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
CRYPTO#2,554$17,742Vol: $1,073,996
SPORTS#1,857,579$-2,250Vol: $407,892

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15,492
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,481,888
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
386B / 314S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$15,492
Vol: $1,481,888

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
2W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$15,492
Win Rate
10%
2W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$1,942
Avg Loss
$-529

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,884 (0.2507137587117938% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2,060
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,824

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?$-3,524
Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,177
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-932
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$-877
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-127
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$-74
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-47
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$-36
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$-29
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.151
Sortino
-0.228
HHI
2496
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
1.4%
Half-Kelly
0.7%
Top-1 market
49.5%
Top-5 markets
60.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.2
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.5%
Mid (20-55c)28.5%
High (>55c)22%

Sessions

#12
11/28/2025, 11:48:27 PM6 trades$9,5905 min
1/5/2026, 4:28:13 PM11 trades$8,26319 min
2/6/2026, 4:39:29 PM5 trades$7,3687 min
11/29/2025, 3:51:33 AM5 trades$6,4246 min
2/6/2026, 5:27:07 PM4 trades$6,2044 min
1/5/2026, 1:46:31 PM6 trades$6,1748 min
6/30/2026, 5:46:29 AM34 trades$5,8015 min
11/29/2025, 12:43:09 AM3 trades$5,0734 min
2/6/2026, 12:09:45 AM7 trades$5,0498 min
11/29/2025, 2:24:03 AM3 trades$5,0403 min
2/6/2026, 4:52:47 PM2 trades$4,3782 min
2/6/2026, 2:40:29 PM2 trades$4,1991 min
6/27/2026, 5:11:49 PM24 trades$4,1847 min
1/7/2026, 11:14:17 PM5 trades$4,0878 min
1/5/2026, 1:04:29 AM4 trades$3,8434 min
1/10/2026, 12:42:14 AM4 trades$3,8407 min
2/6/2026, 4:40:21 AM9 trades$3,8048 min
1/5/2026, 10:28:53 PM4 trades$3,7705 min
11/29/2025, 9:31:27 AM2 trades$3,6743 min
11/29/2025, 3:40:41 AM2 trades$3,6603 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-27
12-02
06-27
06-30
07-04
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.2/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.5 / M28.5 / H22