@ariokh

#12,89284

0x410c934cea349d96999860f86141c7eb70b27d2f

~32d· 65 markets · 620 tradesVol: $445,6842026-08-05 17:28:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (35/65)11.9/20
2.11x (win $76,108 / loss $36,060)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.18615/15
Sortino 14.88010/10
$+0.2959 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 820 (65 markets)8.4/10
14/26 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($13,498 / $40,048)7.3/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+11,527
DCA Master
Avg 10.1 entries/market
Whale
$135,360 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
CRYPTO#3,827$12,368Vol: $184,947
SPORTS#33,418$1,212Vol: $143,549
🎭 CULTURE#815,355$-1,748Vol: $102,231
🏛️ POLITICS#1,581,546$-305Vol: $14,958

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11,527
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$445,684
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
347B / 273S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
35W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$11,527
Win Rate
54%
35W / 30L
Profit Factor
2.11x
Avg Win
$2,175
Avg Loss
$-1,288

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,723 (2.144766212686292% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$11,512
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6,704
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$6,507
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?$6,268
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,432
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,036
Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,602
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,475
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$3,125
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$2,811

Top Losers

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-9,695
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-4,000
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-2,752
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-2,733
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-1,984
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$-1,748
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,476
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-1,200
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-1,112
Will Uruguay reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,043

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.318
Sortino
0.650
HHI
667
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.277
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
49.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 2.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.1%
Mid (20-55c)23.6%
High (>55c)62.2%

Sessions

#12
10/30/2025, 9:19:33 AM1 trades$32,0520 min
10/28/2025, 10:11:09 PM23 trades$16,50225 min
6/12/2026, 9:08:54 PM3 trades$15,5900 min
6/19/2026, 9:37:17 AM63 trades$14,5074 min
7/1/2026, 10:29:02 AM2 trades$11,2500 min
6/10/2026, 8:24:40 PM13 trades$10,5986 min
10/29/2025, 2:08:01 PM22 trades$10,39616 min
6/24/2026, 8:10:14 AM14 trades$9,5523 min
10/30/2025, 9:13:29 AM2 trades$7,5521 min
6/12/2026, 2:02:25 PM22 trades$6,5300 min
10/29/2025, 10:13:21 AM5 trades$6,1583 min
10/29/2025, 2:45:57 PM21 trades$5,79111 min
6/18/2026, 8:36:44 AM9 trades$5,0514 min
10/30/2025, 9:40:31 AM6 trades$5,0352 min
6/14/2026, 5:56:33 PM5 trades$4,7560 min
6/13/2026, 9:44:16 PM7 trades$4,2113 min
6/21/2026, 10:35:49 AM7 trades$4,0944 min
6/16/2026, 4:24:40 PM8 trades$3,9541 min
6/22/2026, 10:02:07 PM2 trades$3,9480 min
10/29/2025, 9:49:59 AM8 trades$3,8407 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
01-23
02-28
06-14
06-19
06-23
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 223 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.1 / M23.6 / H62.2