@lonewolfcapital
#86,993830x4110ae59607b55a47d6f13d356e2dc4f90e01586
~105d· 105 markets · 747 tradesVol: $61,4632026-08-04 22:44:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
64% (59/92)17.1/20
2.48x (win $3,420 / loss $1,378)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.22315/15
Sortino 72.82310/10
$+0.0409 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 1762 (92 markets)3.7/10
36/52 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 3% of peak ($63 / $2,053)10/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+886
DCA Master
Avg 10.0 entries/market
Consistent
36/52 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 3%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#35,628$307Vol: $23,742
⚽ SPORTS#62,672$405Vol: $20,068
💰 FINANCE#15,904$128Vol: $12,226
🎭 CULTURE#25,411$71Vol: $3,549
💻 TECH#17,361$11Vol: $1,250
📈 ECONOMICS#635,972$-28Vol: $337
₿ CRYPTO#245,859$9Vol: $216
📢 MENTIONS#136,901$-15Vol: $75
Overview
#1Net PnL
$886
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$61,463
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
105
total markets
Trades
548B / 199S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~105d
Periods
#2Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$80
Vol: $0
Month
$-45
Vol: $0
All Time
$886
Vol: $61,463
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
64%
59W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$886
Win Rate
64%
59W / 33L
Profit Factor
2.48x
Avg Win
$58
Avg Loss
$-46
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,538 (2.8634568959682327% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,514
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$861
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$163
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?$160
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$115
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?$72
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$68
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$58
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$47
Top Losers
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-295
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-227
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-190
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-164
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-133
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-102
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$-63
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-61
US-China trade deal before June?$-25
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$-22
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.271
Sortino
2.514
HHI
3594
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
43.3%
Top-5 markets
99.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 2.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.03
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)27.9%
Mid (20-55c)4%
High (>55c)68.1%
Sessions
#125/7/2026, 8:34:57 PM20 trades$6,8053 min
7/10/2026, 9:58:07 PM19 trades$5,0217 min
6/26/2026, 6:34:11 PM29 trades$4,6206 min
5/16/2026, 7:53:47 PM13 trades$3,3111 min
5/14/2026, 6:51:38 PM7 trades$2,0392 min
2/28/2026, 3:11:19 PM6 trades$1,7423 min
3/30/2026, 9:28:43 PM2 trades$1,6981 min
4/16/2026, 10:25:36 PM3 trades$1,4820 min
4/22/2026, 12:57:28 AM9 trades$1,3073 min
2/20/2026, 9:12:54 PM3 trades$1,1096 min
4/14/2026, 9:16:42 PM2 trades$1,0880 min
2/28/2026, 11:48:01 PM5 trades$1,0862 min
4/8/2026, 7:39:15 PM18 trades$1,0673 min
4/7/2026, 8:16:19 PM3 trades$1,0000 min
4/16/2026, 8:34:06 AM2 trades$9880 min
4/8/2026, 12:17:53 PM38 trades$9279 min
5/9/2026, 11:31:09 AM4 trades$7641 min
2/20/2026, 9:26:16 PM4 trades$7243 min
4/7/2026, 9:30:51 PM20 trades$6624 min
5/11/2026, 10:10:31 PM11 trades$6392 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-19
10-31
01-12
02-23
03-28
05-07
07-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.9 / M4 / H68.1