@oracle-dota

#3,073,47213

0x4133887a1553a18a5c4ded7fcc243e601bc5165b

~55d· 498 markets · 14620 tradesVol: $2,553,5682026-08-04 15:05:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (162/498)1.3/20
0.71x (win $187,102 / loss $261,796)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9250/15
Sortino -5.1540/10
$-0.2342 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 114 (498 markets)10/10
20/55 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 463% of peak ($96,229 / $20,773)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
70% entries < $0.55
Whale
$318,893 invested
High Roller
$2,572/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,877,421$-10,468Vol: $33,149
CRYPTO#1,653,512$-2,336Vol: $9,403

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-117,900
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,553,568
Total Redeem
$43,685
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
498
total markets
Trades
5385B / 9235S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
162W / 336L events
Realized PnL
$-117,900
Win Rate
33%
162W / 336L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$1,155
Avg Loss
$-784

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $44,867 (0.38055425030407175% of PnL)

Top Winners

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner$19,730
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs$15,511
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winner$9,626
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$9,279
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner$6,861
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner$6,762
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 1 Winner$6,705
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner$5,896
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner$4,910
Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner$3,976

Top Losers

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$-22,296
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$-10,160
Dota 2: NA, we'd win vs the bug (BO3) - The International North America Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs$-8,164
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-7,727
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner$-7,161
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Cloud Rising - Game 1 Winner$-6,683
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs - Game 1 Winner$-6,682
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Grey Trac - Game 2 Winner$-6,606
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Cloud Rising - Game 2 Winner$-5,884
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner$-4,915

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.255
Sortino
-0.253
HHI
143
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.234
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
21%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
117.9
Very active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
59s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.3m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
20 min
Avg Trades / Session
108.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 59s — normal for humanCV 4.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock118 trades/day — automation4.0 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.36
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15%
Mid (20-55c)54.5%
High (>55c)30.5%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 4:17:58 PM327 trades$30,19449 min
6/7/2026, 11:23:58 AM46 trades$28,6837 min
6/7/2026, 12:01:00 PM466 trades$28,49552 min
6/19/2026, 8:25:13 AM6 trades$26,0970 min
5/14/2026, 2:15:18 PM171 trades$23,32225 min
6/5/2026, 1:29:19 PM257 trades$21,42518 min
6/15/2026, 8:13:51 AM242 trades$18,87015 min
6/6/2026, 5:57:36 PM271 trades$17,05452 min
6/6/2026, 10:49:25 AM106 trades$14,77019 min
6/15/2026, 12:16:27 PM195 trades$14,27421 min
6/19/2026, 7:23:46 AM138 trades$12,99131 min
6/15/2026, 10:15:21 AM78 trades$12,72313 min
6/15/2026, 6:48:36 AM284 trades$11,92327 min
6/18/2026, 2:40:14 PM105 trades$11,29637 min
6/10/2026, 1:29:15 PM252 trades$10,91524 min
6/6/2026, 1:17:52 PM90 trades$9,1389 min
5/14/2026, 10:13:22 AM135 trades$9,03450 min
6/7/2026, 10:35:19 AM157 trades$8,90220 min
6/21/2026, 8:32:23 AM43 trades$8,5428 min
6/11/2026, 1:10:15 AM88 trades$8,52517 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-25
05-05
05-14
06-15
06-27
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 77 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.36/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L15 / M54.5 / H30.5