@0x4161ca…2112

#1,913,40140

0x4161ca40441a31e575cccece3e7f0bb96d9b6290

~39d· 270 markets · 1460 tradesVol: $1,0912026-08-04 20:09:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (211/266)20/20
0.77x (win $60 / loss $78)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7290/15
Sortino -1.7690/10
$-0.0203 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 184 (266 markets)10/10
27/38 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 436% of peak ($32 / $7)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 6.3 entries/market
Consistent
27/38 profitable days
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#674,302$-8Vol: $417
⚽ SPORTS#1,073,250$-2Vol: $322
🏛️ POLITICS#827,552$-1Vol: $203
💰 FINANCE#479,371$-1Vol: $54
📢 MENTIONS#67,580$-0Vol: $22
📈 ECONOMICS#327,229$-0Vol: $12
💻 TECH#57,279$0Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,091
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
270
total markets
Trades
727B / 733S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-12
Vol: $1,091

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
211W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$-12
Win Rate
80%
211W / 54L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6 (0.5008025682182985% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$2
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$2
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$2
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$2
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?$1
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?$1

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-39
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics $-8
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$-4
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-4
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$-3
Timberwolves vs. Spurs$-3
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$-3
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.089
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
216
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.1%
Top-5 markets
23%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 0.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active3.2 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)99.9%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 3:00:47 PM108 trades$8525 min
5/11/2026, 3:40:02 PM66 trades$6236 min
5/11/2026, 10:26:46 PM93 trades$5887 min
5/11/2026, 9:08:47 PM64 trades$5445 min
5/11/2026, 6:29:19 PM28 trades$2929 min
5/19/2026, 2:28:36 PM4 trades$261 min
6/30/2026, 6:59:29 PM10 trades$241 min
5/14/2026, 2:47:35 PM23 trades$201 min
5/1/2026, 1:19:34 PM12 trades$171 min
5/17/2026, 7:45:26 PM6 trades$164 min
5/15/2026, 7:44:48 AM2 trades$150 min
5/9/2026, 11:59:08 AM22 trades$151 min
7/9/2026, 9:26:41 PM20 trades$156 min
5/13/2026, 11:03:12 PM19 trades$151 min
5/12/2026, 12:04:27 AM26 trades$1422 min
5/17/2026, 4:39:28 PM4 trades$134 min
5/11/2026, 10:04:34 AM20 trades$136 min
6/30/2026, 5:47:07 PM16 trades$138 min
4/30/2026, 6:35:42 PM16 trades$130 min
5/5/2026, 10:21:42 PM10 trades$130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-27
05-03
05-09
05-15
07-02
07-12
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0.1 / H99.9