@IndipendentLens

#3,033,50474

0x416f0a7a85206cb1da6c15217dc011bbaa9f0831

~18d· 38 markets · 136 tradesVol: $50,4832026-08-06 06:07:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (31/37)20/20
1.39x (win $1,717 / loss $1,238)7.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.61515/15
Sortino 3.39710/10
$+0.0508 per $1 invested2.5/10
HHI 657 (37 markets)9.2/10
15/18 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 111% of peak ($795 / $717)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Consistent
15/18 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#48,080$688Vol: $26,044
🎭 CULTURE#11,582$271Vol: $3,384
💻 TECH#5,276$126Vol: $1,104
₿ CRYPTO#140,608$40Vol: $978
💰 FINANCE#27,360$45Vol: $372
📈 ECONOMICS#31,174$18Vol: $298

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,607
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,483
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
65B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Week
$1,390
Vol: $5,101
Month
$589
Vol: $6,551
All Time
$-3,607
Vol: $50,483

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
31W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-3,607
Win Rate
84%
31W / 6L
Profit Factor
1.39x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-206

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $674 (0.1869632233489873% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France win on 2026-06-16?$260
Viborg FF vs. Odense BK: O/U 3.5$216
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 4.5$198
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?$171
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-05?$108
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$90
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$88
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$69
Will Iran reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$66
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$-560
PAOK WF vs. MA Hapoel Jerusalem: O/U 3.5$-382
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5$-246
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$-32
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.133
Sortino
0.185
HHI
710
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
50.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 318s — normal for humanCV 1.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.59
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)10.8%
High (>55c)89.2%

Sessions

#12
7/17/2026, 4:17:21 PM14 trades$1,4410 min
8/4/2026, 6:01:27 PM5 trades$1,2400 min
6/26/2026, 7:59:37 AM7 trades$1,1692 min
8/5/2026, 1:27:39 PM8 trades$1,1557 min
7/24/2026, 5:38:24 PM2 trades$6000 min
6/11/2026, 3:54:52 PM4 trades$4000 min
7/22/2026, 7:59:54 PM3 trades$3860 min
7/22/2026, 4:51:16 PM2 trades$3820 min
7/22/2026, 10:47:13 AM2 trades$3680 min
8/4/2026, 5:34:09 PM2 trades$3500 min
6/29/2026, 9:57:05 AM4 trades$3000 min
7/6/2026, 3:06:41 PM4 trades$3000 min
6/29/2026, 5:35:47 PM1 trades$2250 min
6/29/2026, 10:07:16 AM3 trades$2071 min
7/17/2026, 3:56:58 PM8 trades$2060 min
6/30/2026, 3:22:47 PM7 trades$2020 min
7/17/2026, 2:56:31 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/16/2026, 4:21:35 PM5 trades$2002 min
6/16/2026, 4:02:16 PM6 trades$1671 min
7/1/2026, 1:35:29 PM1 trades$1480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
06-11
06-26
07-01
07-17
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M10.8 / H89.2