@casandra13
#2,890,499480x41b0ee514df0c43652d28323292776bedff29801
~27d· 33 markets · 154 tradesVol: $43,9122026-08-04 15:07:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
62% (16/26)15.8/20
1.09x (win $785 / loss $722)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4638.7/15
Sortino 0.5435.4/10
$+0.0022 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 720 (26 markets)8.9/10
7/13 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 617% of peak ($615 / $100)0/10
Badges
1Sniper
Win rate 62%
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,588,595$-386Vol: $25,002
💰 FINANCE#618,247$-50Vol: $7,377
⚽ SPORTS#1,737,029$-194Vol: $7,099
📈 ECONOMICS#655,613$-79Vol: $2,670
🎭 CULTURE#657,578$-6Vol: $1,200
₿ CRYPTO#299,792$5Vol: $564
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-710
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,912
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
68B / 86S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
Periods
#2Today
$39
Vol: $0
Week
$61
Vol: $0
Month
$58
Vol: $1,062
All Time
$-710
Vol: $43,912
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
62%
16W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-710
Win Rate
62%
16W / 10L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-80
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $479 (0.6745096382658162% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$277
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$104
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$98
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$68
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$61
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$45
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$40
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$35
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$32
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$12
Top Losers
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-352
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-118
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$-108
Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-47
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-37
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?$-36
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$-10
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$-8
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.023
Sortino
0.020
HHI
393
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
34.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 488s — normal for humanCV 0.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.42
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.4%
Mid (20-55c)14.7%
High (>55c)80.9%
Sessions
#125/23/2026, 9:03:52 PM19 trades$5,2014 min
6/22/2026, 4:06:56 PM5 trades$3,2032 min
7/11/2026, 7:54:41 PM7 trades$2,8361 min
2/25/2026, 3:28:24 PM3 trades$2,7811 min
2/24/2026, 1:58:52 PM6 trades$2,5883 min
7/5/2026, 4:27:22 PM6 trades$1,9592 min
6/16/2026, 3:47:05 PM11 trades$1,9121 min
6/16/2026, 3:56:53 PM15 trades$1,8423 min
5/24/2026, 7:25:34 AM5 trades$1,8350 min
5/24/2026, 7:50:12 AM2 trades$1,7680 min
2/19/2026, 7:32:20 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
2/20/2026, 2:12:24 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
2/18/2026, 7:43:54 PM1 trades$1,3000 min
2/28/2026, 3:17:09 PM2 trades$1,2961 min
2/28/2026, 3:01:01 PM2 trades$1,2523 min
5/18/2026, 5:01:35 PM7 trades$1,2020 min
6/1/2026, 1:46:16 PM2 trades$1,1890 min
2/20/2026, 9:29:34 PM2 trades$6531 min
4/26/2026, 3:29:08 PM2 trades$5950 min
8/1/2026, 4:51:48 PM2 trades$5430 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-02
02-15
02-19
02-25
02-28
06-22
07-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.4 / M14.7 / H80.9