@predictooooooooor

#143,05773

0x41b684f33bd7d277ee1af437fa3bb4153e4c8f2b

~131d· 209 markets · 1694 tradesVol: $152,9132026-08-04 20:39:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (109/186)14.3/20
1.47x (win $11,095 / loss $7,565)8.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.21215/15
Sortino 2.79110/10
$+0.0851 per $1 invested4.3/10
HHI 322 (186 markets)10/10
44/81 profitable days (54%)6.1/10
Max DD 46% of peak ($2,987 / $6,473)4.8/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+312
DCA Master
Avg 9.6 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,509,642$-90Vol: $100,475
🎭 CULTURE#28,268$58Vol: $13,641
💰 FINANCE#23,566$61Vol: $11,078
CRYPTO#1,457,768$-93Vol: $7,513
📈 ECONOMICS#9,863$151Vol: $6,958
📢 MENTIONS#6,400$91Vol: $5,027
💻 TECH#241,602$-37Vol: $3,685
🌤️ WEATHER#5,150$179Vol: $3,004
SPORTS#1,375,516$-12Vol: $1,251

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$312
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$152,913
Total Redeem
$985
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
209
total markets
Trades
1059B / 635S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~131d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $0
Week
$8
Vol: $0
Month
$-41
Vol: $0
All Time
$312
Vol: $152,913

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
109W / 77L events
Realized PnL
$312
Win Rate
59%
109W / 77L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$102
Avg Loss
$-108

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,074 (22.70572941742898% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$5,154
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1,353
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$567
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$435
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$402
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$354
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$269
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$240
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$216
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$170

Top Losers

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$-1,483
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-925
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?$-714
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-689
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-401
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-373
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-357
James Comey arrested by April 30?$-308
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-258
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?$-246

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.063
Sortino
0.105
HHI
446
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.069
Kelly %
4.3%
Half-Kelly
2.2%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
33.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 329s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.58
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.6%
High (>55c)57.7%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 9:50:16 PM43 trades$4,6868 min
3/8/2026, 9:03:31 PM23 trades$3,16823 min
4/12/2026, 3:46:43 PM6 trades$2,6142 min
5/4/2026, 8:23:22 PM26 trades$2,5363 min
4/29/2026, 6:13:06 AM17 trades$1,9617 min
5/16/2026, 9:38:10 PM14 trades$1,8275 min
4/28/2026, 12:39:04 PM11 trades$1,7722 min
5/10/2026, 8:38:36 PM15 trades$1,3475 min
4/3/2026, 5:38:51 PM16 trades$1,25812 min
4/12/2026, 7:34:15 PM18 trades$1,1896 min
5/7/2026, 11:04:34 AM12 trades$1,1280 min
4/3/2026, 3:54:03 PM6 trades$1,0787 min
4/12/2026, 7:50:13 PM4 trades$9965 min
4/3/2026, 3:21:35 PM4 trades$8927 min
4/29/2026, 8:23:34 PM5 trades$8360 min
2/28/2026, 2:44:51 PM20 trades$82711 min
4/3/2026, 1:44:59 PM26 trades$69022 min
5/15/2026, 1:22:35 PM1 trades$5970 min
4/12/2026, 8:00:29 PM3 trades$5971 min
3/8/2026, 9:37:15 PM17 trades$59412 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
12-06
04-03
05-02
05-20
06-08
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.7 / M24.6 / H57.7