@MrLooney

#2,898,99033

0x41df47c1a2c3f04fef35eabcadeaebe065e14b70

~120d· 2951 markets · 4553 tradesVol: $257,5962026-08-04 22:58:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (1835/2944)16.2/20
0.79x (win $17,895 / loss $22,607)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3280/15
Sortino -2.6320/10
$-0.0257 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 33 (2944 markets)10/10
41/73 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 281% of peak ($9,302 / $3,309)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Whale
$183,083 invested
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,247,746$-18Vol: $181,033
🏛️ POLITICS#1,614,242$-961Vol: $72,647
🎭 CULTURE#13,444$212Vol: $3,916

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-768
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$257,596
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2951
total markets
Trades
4083B / 470S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~120d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$5
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-768
Vol: $257,596

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
1835W / 1109L events
Realized PnL
$-768
Win Rate
62%
1835W / 1109L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,791 (2.33365903228328% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$656
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$612
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$523
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$478
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$329
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?$307
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$304
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$270
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$192
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$185

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-3,024
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?$-1,097
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$-801
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$-571
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?$-555
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$-495
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$-479
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?$-414
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$-300
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$-300

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.121
Sortino
-0.111
HHI
26
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
6.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.8
Active
Markets / Day
12.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.5m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 152s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active12 markets/day — mass coverage16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.53
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)97.1%

Sessions

#12
2/27/2026, 10:07:43 PM28 trades$6,00835 min
11/27/2025, 11:46:49 AM3 trades$3,0003 min
1/15/2026, 4:11:54 PM3 trades$2,3184 min
11/27/2025, 11:57:37 AM2 trades$2,0194 min
2/3/2026, 11:18:06 PM2 trades$2,0001 min
4/1/2026, 10:17:09 AM11 trades$1,7261 min
4/29/2026, 5:21:26 PM1 trades$1,5120 min
2/2/2026, 10:13:40 PM2 trades$1,5001 min
11/28/2025, 1:47:09 PM7 trades$1,4402 min
12/4/2025, 11:11:17 PM6 trades$1,3305 min
12/15/2025, 1:38:33 PM16 trades$1,26817 min
2/22/2026, 11:43:34 PM3 trades$1,2223 min
11/27/2025, 7:05:33 PM3 trades$1,2003 min
4/27/2026, 10:05:28 PM20 trades$1,1697 min
7/25/2026, 10:16:49 PM20 trades$1,1343 min
12/30/2025, 8:13:21 PM3 trades$1,1122 min
4/3/2026, 2:56:39 PM9 trades$1,0982 min
12/3/2025, 10:25:33 AM16 trades$1,08828 min
12/3/2025, 10:22:13 PM24 trades$1,08039 min
12/17/2025, 12:31:33 AM1 trades$1,0580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-27
12-09
12-23
02-25
03-20
04-19
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 145 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M2.4 / H97.1