@liveman
#2,852,091880x425bcad7cd516541c5c8ccd85c9d19a75853b6c4
~39d· 65 markets · 475 tradesVol: $236,7832026-08-04 22:23:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
73% (41/56)20/20
1.87x (win $40,296 / loss $21,595)13.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.25615/15
Sortino 460.40510/10
$+0.5689 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3153 (56 markets)0/10
18/25 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($133 / $18,701)10/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 73%
DCA Master
Avg 12.0 entries/market
Consistent
18/25 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 1%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,600,003$-518Vol: $123,898
⚽ SPORTS#304,535$7Vol: $58,003
🎭 CULTURE#128,549$2Vol: $21,024
📈 ECONOMICS#41,119$11Vol: $15,159
💰 FINANCE#611,157$-35Vol: $12,374
₿ CRYPTO#109,295$74Vol: $5,406
💻 TECH#243,704$-48Vol: $920
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-508
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$236,783
Total Redeem
$453
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
346B / 129S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d
Periods
#2Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$5
Vol: $502
All Time
$-508
Vol: $236,783
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
73%
41W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-508
Win Rate
73%
41W / 15L
Profit Factor
1.87x
Avg Win
$983
Avg Loss
$-1,661
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39,330 (77.43862723477987% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$38,200
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$886
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$244
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$228
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?$188
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?$179
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?$119
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$88
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$38
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$25
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-19,709
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-1,440
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-133
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$-111
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-77
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$-70
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-19
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?$-10
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-8
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$-7
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.218
Sortino
14.905
HHI
9267
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.352
Kelly %
55.8%
Half-Kelly
27.9%
Top-1 market
67.9%
Top-5 markets
145.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.7m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 2.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.02
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)42.5%
High (>55c)51.7%
Sessions
#124/30/2026, 2:43:44 AM22 trades$5,55525 min
4/30/2026, 9:12:32 AM26 trades$4,52441 min
4/30/2026, 11:15:06 AM14 trades$3,8304 min
4/30/2026, 6:54:00 AM28 trades$3,1354 min
4/30/2026, 11:42:40 AM24 trades$2,58714 min
4/30/2026, 2:20:58 PM10 trades$2,2812 min
4/30/2026, 3:34:42 AM4 trades$1,7024 min
4/30/2026, 6:23:10 AM1 trades$1,5640 min
12/31/2025, 2:56:17 PM9 trades$1,2793 min
4/30/2026, 10:00:34 AM14 trades$1,09410 min
4/30/2026, 8:46:40 AM4 trades$1,0191 min
4/30/2026, 3:13:38 AM3 trades$9661 min
12/27/2024, 11:15:42 AM4 trades$9333 min
4/30/2026, 7:07:42 AM10 trades$91310 min
11/30/2025, 8:48:30 AM3 trades$9071 min
4/8/2026, 10:02:09 AM2 trades$8840 min
4/30/2026, 7:41:56 AM17 trades$82317 min
4/30/2026, 1:05:12 PM26 trades$79934 min
4/30/2026, 1:50:32 PM11 trades$7504 min
4/30/2026, 3:48:32 AM5 trades$7396 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-27
12-31
01-25
09-16
12-31
04-30
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 13 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.8 / M42.5 / H51.7